Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Week 13 Matchups and Predictions

Well...this is it, the final week of the fantasy regular season. The only things we know are a) Dad has the #1 seed and bye and b) 4 teams have clinched playoff berths. That means the #2 bye and two playoff spots are up for grabs. The scenarios are numerous and headache inducing. This is going to be the craziest finish that the Wane McGarity Bowl has had in a while. It all comes down to this. Here's the final week matchups.

Danny's Little Giants (8-4) vs
Dr. Light's Robots (5-6-1)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: I lead series 7-2
Last Matchup: I beat Matt 124-76.5 in  Week 2

What's At Stake
For Me: The #2 bye. If I win and score high enough points to fend off Kenny and Mike, I'll get the 2nd bye.

For Matt: A Playoff Berth. He'll need help, but with that tie he's one step closer than Albert. For a playoff berth Matt would need to win and need either one or both Mark and Mayra to lose. A loss elminiates Matt from contention.

Key Players
Danny's Little Giants: Matthew Stafford (Packers) Brandon Marshall (Vikings) Pierre Garcon (Giants) Vincent Jackson (Panthers) Torrey Smith (Steelers) Jason Witten (Raiders) LeSean McCoy (Cardinals)

Dr. Light's Robots: Robert Griffin III (Giants) Jordy Nelson (Lions) Jamaal Charles (Broncos) Andre Brown (Redskins) Roddy White (Bills) Marques Colston (Seahawks) Jordan Reed (Giants)

Wild Cards
Danny's Little Giants: Difficult matchups for V-Jax, Torrey Smith and McCoy. Which Chris Johnson Shows up?

Dr. Light's Robots: RGIII struggles. Jordan Reed back from concussion. WR production outside of Jordy.

Predictions
Yahoo Says: I win 111-95
I Say: Matt wins. Nope, sorry team, after yall lost to a rag n tag Leland team, I have 0 confidence yall can get the job done. It doesn't help the matchups suck for nearly half my team. I doubt I score 100 much 111, I fucking hate Yahoo's scoring projections. I had my chance at the bye and blew it. I'll have to go the long way if I'm gonna win the title. For Matt, since I think Mayra will lose her matchup, I think Matt sneaks in as the #6 seed.

Next!!!!!! (5-7) vs
Hoosier Daddy (3-9)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Leland Leads series 4-0
Last Matchup: Leland beat Ryan 113-88.5 in Week 2

What's at Stake:Nothing...unless Leland cares about his undefeated streak against Ryan.

Key Players
Next!!!!: Tom Brady (Texans) Steve Smith (Bucs) Danny Woodhead (Bengals) C.J. Spiller (Falcons)

Hoosier Daddy: Cam Newton (Bucs) Larry Fitzgerald (Eagles) Harry Douglas (Bills) DeSean Jackson (Cardinals) Eddie Lacy (Lions) Julius Thomas (Chiefs)

Wild Cards
Next!!!: Production from everyone outside Tom Brady

Hoosier Daddy: Difficult matchup for Jackson and Lacy.

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Ryan wins 100-79
I Say: Ryan wins. The battle of the two spoilers. One possibly ruined a playoff berth (Ryan) and one possibly ruined a bye (Leland). Unlike my sack of shit team, Ryan's won't buckle under pressure and his guys will show up and win like they should. It would be a disappointing end to a disappointing season for last year's champion.

Passion De La Puente (8-4) vs
I'm A Paul Heyman Guy (4-7-1)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Mike Leads series 2-1
Last Matchup: Mike beat Drew 93-69.5

What's at Stake
For Mike: #2 bye. Mike has to either win and outscore me and Kenny or win and have me and Kenny lose. He can also lose and hope me and Kenny both lose as well and he outscores us.

Key Players
Passion De La Puente: Tony Romo (Raiders) Josh Gordon (Jaguars) Wes Welker (Chiefs) Jarrett Boykin (Lions) Marshawn Lynch (Saints) Zac Stacy* (49ers)

I'm A Paul Heyman Guy: Adrian Peterson (Bears) Reggie Bush (Packers) Kendall Wright (Colts) Keenan Allen (Bengals) Michael Floyd (Eagles)

Wild Cards
Passion De La Puente: Zac Stacy concussion. Marquise Goodwin over Tony Gonzalez

I'm A Paul Heyman Guy: E.J. Manuel over Luck. Jordan Cameron bounce back? What kind of production from Receiving group?

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Mike wins 96-93
I Say: I'm gonna say Mike, but this could be very scary. I'm not a huge fan of the E.J. Manuel spot start, but those receivers are capable of HUGE games and you combine that with Peterson/Bush and it might be enough to outscore and upset Mike here. I still think Mike has the firepower to fend Drew off, and if Zac Stacy does miss, he still has Pierre "Money" Thomas to fill in that #2 spot. I think Mike wins, but finishes as the #3 seed because of Kenny.

Not Even Lying (8-4) vs
Bigger Balls (6-6)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Mayra Leads series 2-1
Last Matchup: Mayra beat Kenny 131.5-91

What's At Stake
For Kenny: #2 bye. Kenny needs to win and outscore me and Mike, or win and Me and Mike lose. He can also get the bye if we all lose and Kenny outscores us.

For Mayra: A playoff berth. Mayra is in the upper tier of hopefuls and she was in the same exact spot last season. Win and you're in. That's it. 7 wins gets in and she doesn't need help. However, if she loses, not all hope is lost, she can still get in multiple ways via various combinations of losses/wins from the other 3 contenders. She wouldn't want to go down to points though, out of the 4 teams going for those two spots, she has the 2nd worst points.

Key Players
Not Even Lying: Drew Brees (Seahawks) Calvin Johnson (Packers) Demaryius Thomas (Chiefs) Rashad Jennings (Cowboys)

Bigger Balls: Antonio Brown (Ravens) Dez Bryant (Raiders) Alshon Jeffrey (Vikings) Knowshon Moreno*(Chiefs) Vernon Davis (Rams)

Wild Cards
Not Even Lying: Drew Brees Difficult Matchup. Percy Harvin Good to go?

Bigger Balls; Bad matchup for Antonio Brown/Roethlisberger. Knowshon's health. Lack of Depth at RB

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Kenny wins 106-96
I Say: Kenny wins and I think he wins BIG. Sucks for Mayra that her playoff hopes hang on having to beat Kenny. The Calvin trade was a godsend and I'm still pissed that when I drafted Calvin last year, he wasn't close to being this good. Losing Moreno is a brutal break, and even if he plays he might be limited. Also Ravens-Steelers should be low scoring which doesn't bode well for Roethlisberger/Brown. Having to depend on Mendenhall is very risky and whyyy is Greg Jennings still starting on a roster?? Kenny wins and gets the 2nd bye...bastard. (I hope my jinx shit works big time here)

The Bad Robofies (10-2) vs
Shock The Monkey (6-6)

All Time Record
Matchup Stats: Mark Leads Series 1-0
Last Matchup: Mark beat Dad 86.5-66.5

What's at Stake
For Dad: Nothing. Dad can sit and enjoy stress free football for the next two weeks.

For Mark: A playoff berth. Mark's freefall is well documented. Luckily that 5-0 start afforded him to still be in the hunt and he STILL has the best shot out of anybody left based on position and matchup. He wins and he's in. That simple. No relying on anyone for help. He's also one of only two teams that have beaten Dad. If he loses, all isn't lost, he like Mayra, have multiple ways they can still get in, but with low points, he better hope Albert and Matt both lose as well to secure a spot.

Key Players
The Bad Robofies: Colin Kaepernick (Rams) Anquan Boldin (Rams) Andre Johnson (Patriots) Jimmy Graham (Seahawks)

Shock The Monkey: Victor Cruz (Redskins) Nick Foles (Cardinals) Matt Forte (Vikings) Rob Gronkowski (Texans)

Wild Cards
The Bad Robofies: RB Depth

Shock The Monkey: WR production. RB#2 production.

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Mark wins 95-87
I Say: Mark FINALLY wins. I've been picking against Dad all year and been dead wrong so why change now? Honestly though, of the 4 teams with a chance at a spot, Mark has the best chance. Chris Ivory is questionable and Dad has until tomorrow to either use Darren McFadden or risk waiting and use the unusable Jacquizz Rodgers. I don't think it's a slam dunk, especially because of Mark's horrible group of receivers, but he has a solid chance at defeating Dad and getting a playoff spot.

Channel 4 News Team (5-7) vs
Springville-Warrior (3-9)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Eugene leads series 1-0
Last Matchup: Eugene beat Albert 117-95 in Week 2

What's at Stake
For Albert: A playoff berth. Out of the 4 teams, Albert's got the toughest road thanks that disappointing loss to Ryan last week. The two time champion must not only win but also get help by hoping 2 out of Mark, Mayra, and Matt lose. The winning part is a given. Albert just had a better squad then Eugene, and should be a lock for a winner. The help part though, that may be tricky.

Key Players
Channel 4 News Team: Peyton Manning (Chiefs) A.J. Green (Chargers) Alfred Morris (Giants) Frank Gore (Rams)

Springville-Warrior: Russell Wilson (Saints) Eric Decker (Chiefs) Antonio Gates (Bengals) DeMarco Murray (Raiders) Gio Bernard (Chargers)

Wild Cards
Channel 4 News Team: Tough Matchup for T.Y. Hilton

Springville-Warrior: WR Production

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Albert wins 92-75
I Say: Albert wins. Should be an easy win for Albert. Will he get the help he needs though? According to my predictions no cause I have both Matt and Mark winning, but neither of those is a lock and I actually like his chances over Mayra. If he gets in.....it'll be bad for the other 5 teams.








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