Wednesday, December 3, 2014

Wane McGarity Bowl Round 1 Matchups and Predictions

As per usual, I'm not going to waste time predicting the Michael Wiley Loser Bowl, just the REAL playoffs. Mayra and Albert get to take a well deserved break while Alex, Eugene, Drew, and Matt battle it out to make the final 4. Both matchups should be good. Here we go...

Rocket Man (7-6)   vs
Winter Is Here (7-6)

Playoff Stats
Rocket Man: 1st Playoff Appearance
Winter Is Here: 1st Playoff Appearance

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Alex leads series 1-0
Last Matchup: Alex beat Eugene 110.5-84.5 in Week 12 of the 2014 Season

Key Players
Rocket Man: Aaron Rodgers (Falcons) Jeremy Maclin (Seahawks) Julio Jones (Packers) Randall Cobb (Falcons) Calvin Johnson (Bucs) DeMarco Murray (Bears) 

Winter Is Here: Drew Brees (Panthers) T.Y. Hilton (Browns) DeSean Jackson* (Rams) Marshawn Lynch (Eagles) Rob Gronkowski (Chargers) Eddie Lacy (Falcons)

Wild Cards
Rocket Man: Tough Matchup for Jeremy Maclin. Lamar Miller production

Winter Is Here: DeSean Jackson health. Percy Harvin production.

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Eugene wins 114-103
I Say: Eugene wins. These two just met up two weeks ago and Alex easily dispatched Eugene then. Can he make it two weeks in a row? Well, he certainly has the team to do it. I'm curious where he goes with his receiver situation. Stills, LaFell, Harvin, and Desean Jackson are all viable options (if DeSean is healthy) and it'll be a tough decision to chose two of those guys. Another crazy thing is Eugene has 3 Monday Night Plays while Alex has two Sunday/Monday Night Plays so those last two games are going to be critical to this matchup. I just think Eugene's team is way too loaded and I don't see him putting up another stinker like he did the last time these two met. It'll be a high scoring close affair, but edge to Eugene to advance to the final 4.

Dr. Light's Robots (9-4)   vs
JTG's Warehouse (7-6)

Playoff Stats
Dr. Light's Robots: 3rd Appearance (0-4)
JTG's Warehouse: 2nd Appearance (1-1) (2nd Place in 2010)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Series is tied 3-3-1
Last Matchup: Matt Beat Drew 146-80.5 in Week 4 of the 2014 Season

Key Players
Dr. Light's Robots: Jordy Nelson (Falcons) Emmanuel Sanders (Bills) Jamaal Charles (Cardinals) Odell Beckham Jr (Titans)

JTG's Warehouse: Demaryius Thomas (Bills) Rashad Jennings (Titans) Justin Forsett (Dolphins) Julius Thomas* (Bills)

Wild Cards
Dr. Light's Robots: Big Ben Play. No real RB #2. Tough Jamaal Charles Matchup. Productions from rest of roster outside stars.

JTG's Warehouse: QB Play. Andre Ellington likely out. Julius Thomas' Health. Production from Tate/Edelman/Benjamin

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Drew wins 112-101
I Say: Drew wins. Wow..this rivalry has been a real good one. They've met 7 times previous and the series is all tied up at 3-3-1. Family Bragging rights go with this win as well. It's also crazy that although Matt's been in the final 4 both times he's been in the playoffs, he's yet to win a playoff game (he's lost both 3rd place games after being knocked out thus the 0-4 record). Drew's last playoff appearance was our first season in 2010 where he beat me then lost to Albert in the finals. He hadn't been in the playoffs since returning to the league in 2012. He's back though and this is what he wanted. He specifically got himself in this situation so he'd have a better shot at advancing. I believe that's what's going to happen here. Again, both team have their weaknesses and inconsistencies. For Matt, that glaring lack of a RB #2 is critical. There's really nothing he can do as there's nothing out there worth picking up. He needs Big Ben to play like the Big Ben who went a TD barrage a few weeks ago. He needs guys like Sammy Watkins and Jordan Reed to supplement his stars if he's going to win. For Drew..all year it's been QB play. It's been terribly bad. This week..it's back to Cutler again. He is playing against the Dallas Defense so you would think he would be a solid play. Drew's team doesn't really have household stars outside of the Thomas boys really, but Golden Tate, Julian Edelman, and Kelvin Benjamin have more than held their own this season and Drew's going to need that again if he wants to advance. I think that late season trade for Forsett and Jennings was an underrated move as well. I give the slight edge to Drew here. Should be fun to watch.



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