Well, I was gonna start this post bitching and moaning about Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara sucking for a 2nd straight week but that will have to wait for just a bit as news came out tonight that Kareem Hunt was released by the Chiefs after a video leaked showing Hunt in a physical altercation with a young girl back in February. This is HUGE news as Hunt is one the premier backs in the league and it has a huge fantasy implications. Hunt is on Leland's team and this will be a giant blow to his squad, though to be honest Leland's team is pretty deep at RB and I honestly think he can survive the hit, though it still sucks. The big benefactor is Mark, who has Spencer Ware on his roster and now has himself a RB2 at the very least. This gives Mark a huge boost right before the playoff start. Ok back to the bitching and moaning..so yep another Thursday night Saints game and another Thursday Night Disappointment as once again Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas way underperformed on their projections. This sucks on so many levels, as it's probably now going to cost me a bye for sure (I seriously don't think I can survive this two weeks in a row) and if my points are low enough, will bounce me out of the playoffs altogether. My guys have way worse matchups than they did last week and I can totally see my team scoring in the low to mid 80s or worse because of that and the underachievements of my two top guns. Basically, if you played a Saint you got fucked. So Drew's spoiler chances against Mark dropped significantly after Brees' Dud. Kenny should be fine overall, but his chances of beating Matt took a minor hit with Ingram's terrible game, Ben Watson and Trequan Smith got 0's for Eugene and Mike respectively and Alex inexplicably played Brandon Marshall who I don't even know if he's active left and took a 0 there, which basically seals the deal on his season. There were only two Cowboys worth playing and Zeke was his usual great self, which means Leland is one step closer to sealing up that bye, while Amari Cooper had a decent yardage game for Dad but did lose a costly fumble. With Dad needing all the points he can get, getting under double digits from Cooper was not the best of starts to his week.
Friday, November 30, 2018
Wednesday, November 28, 2018
Week 13 Matchups and Predictions
Well..this is it...the last week of the regular season for Fantasy Football. It flew by as usual and after 12 weeks of awesome wins, agonizing losses, injuries, breakout performances, we STILL don't have a clue how the playoff seeding is going to shake out. Sure there are a couple of teams who are in despite not being officially in but even with them, who knows where they finish. This is going to be the craziest Week 13 we've ever had. Should be interesting. Here's the final week of Matchups and Predictions
Rigmas Forever (7-5) vs
Channel 4 News Team (6-6)
Yahoo Says: I win
I Say: Albert wins. It might be too little too late for Albert, but he's done a damn fine job at wrecking his opponents playoff chances. He basically killed off Alex's playoff chances two weeks ago and he denied Leland from not only officially clinching the playoffs, but a bye as well. Albert's team is unpredictable and there's no telling which team will show up. First of all, once again I'm a huge favorite, which never bodes well (I only won by a mere 8 points last week and underachieved) He blew me out in Week 2, and since I'm the one with the most to gain from winning, I just don't think the Fantasy Gods will be on my side this week. I feel like I used my luck up last week. A win would keep alive for a bye so it'd be nice, but I'd have to do something my team hasn't done all year, win a 3rd game in a row. I hope I'm wrong again, but I just don't see it happening.
Shock The Monkey (7-5) vs
I Am Queens Blvd (6-6)
Yahoo Says: Mark Wins
I Say: Mark wins. This is the most critical matchup of the week as if Mark loses, it opens up the 6th seed to my Dad and Mike because of Mark's points. Mark is a favorite by less than half a point, but I do think he gets the win here. He gets back Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill and just feel like he's got a more stable team than Drew. Drew's got Brees and his RB's of course, but those WR are just dart throws and who knows how good they'll be. A win for Mark could get him a bye depending on the fates of me, Matt, and Leland.
Light's Broken Bots (7-5) vs
Scott's Tots (6-6)
Yahoo Says: Kenny Wins
I say: Kenny wins. This is the definition of a heavyweight fight as Matt gets Mahomes back and both teams have tons of firepower. Another critical matchup that will determine playoff seeding and possibly byes. Because Kenny's the 2nd leading scorer in the league, and it's not even close, Kenny's going to be making the playoffs. But he can finish anywhere from #2-#6 which is crazy. The Bye is tricky for Matt too, because even if Matt wins, he'll have to hope I lose or if I win, he'll have to outscore me. I'm only a little over a point and a half over him. If Kerryon Johnson misses another game, that'll be huge blow to Matt's chances and since Kenny's team seems more deep, I'll take Kenny here.
SCLSU MudDogs (6-6) vs
Hoosier Daddy (4-8)
Yahoo Says: Ryan Wins
I Say: Ryan wins. Ryan, like Albert has done an excellent job playing the spoiler role after upsetting Mark last week. Believe it or not, as slim as it is, I think there's still a chance for Alex to make the playoffs. He'd need to win and the rest of the 6-6 teams have to lose. That's A LOT to ask for, but hey..a chance it's a chance. I just don't see Alex winning unfortunately.
No Soup For You (7-5) vs
Underdawg (5-7)
Yahoo Says: Leland wins
I Say: Leland wins. Leland went from a shoo in bye to needing to win this week to secure one. The silver lining is, Leland is 100% in, the worst he can finish is 4th seed, but it would be nice to avoid that extra week of work. Leland's two losses have been fluky to me, he lost a shootout where he put up 127 points, before that he lost to Matt by a mere 1 and a half points thanks to Mahomes going bonkers in that Rams/Chiefs Monday Night Shootout. I think he wins here. For Dad, win or loss doesn't matter, it's allllllllllll about points. He just needs a shootout to keep up points and hope that Mark loses and Mike scores low. If that happens, Dad can get in.
Rocket Man (6-6) vs
Trump 2020 (5-7)
Yahoo Says: Mike Wins
I say: Mike wins. Wow..what a difference 3 weeks makes. Eugene looked like a near lock for the #2 bye, now he's fighting for his playoff life. He's been on a 3 game losing streak, he lost Melvin Gordon, and even if A.J. Green does come back, who knows how effective he'll be his first week back and who knows how he'll perform with Jeff Driskel at QB. That's a lot of unknowns for me to be confident in Eugene's team. For Mike, just like Dad, it's not about wins and losses, it's about points. The more points Mike puts up, the better his gives himself for a chance to make the playoffs.
Rigmas Forever (7-5) vs
Channel 4 News Team (6-6)
Yahoo Says: I win
I Say: Albert wins. It might be too little too late for Albert, but he's done a damn fine job at wrecking his opponents playoff chances. He basically killed off Alex's playoff chances two weeks ago and he denied Leland from not only officially clinching the playoffs, but a bye as well. Albert's team is unpredictable and there's no telling which team will show up. First of all, once again I'm a huge favorite, which never bodes well (I only won by a mere 8 points last week and underachieved) He blew me out in Week 2, and since I'm the one with the most to gain from winning, I just don't think the Fantasy Gods will be on my side this week. I feel like I used my luck up last week. A win would keep alive for a bye so it'd be nice, but I'd have to do something my team hasn't done all year, win a 3rd game in a row. I hope I'm wrong again, but I just don't see it happening.
Shock The Monkey (7-5) vs
I Am Queens Blvd (6-6)
Yahoo Says: Mark Wins
I Say: Mark wins. This is the most critical matchup of the week as if Mark loses, it opens up the 6th seed to my Dad and Mike because of Mark's points. Mark is a favorite by less than half a point, but I do think he gets the win here. He gets back Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill and just feel like he's got a more stable team than Drew. Drew's got Brees and his RB's of course, but those WR are just dart throws and who knows how good they'll be. A win for Mark could get him a bye depending on the fates of me, Matt, and Leland.
Light's Broken Bots (7-5) vs
Scott's Tots (6-6)
Yahoo Says: Kenny Wins
I say: Kenny wins. This is the definition of a heavyweight fight as Matt gets Mahomes back and both teams have tons of firepower. Another critical matchup that will determine playoff seeding and possibly byes. Because Kenny's the 2nd leading scorer in the league, and it's not even close, Kenny's going to be making the playoffs. But he can finish anywhere from #2-#6 which is crazy. The Bye is tricky for Matt too, because even if Matt wins, he'll have to hope I lose or if I win, he'll have to outscore me. I'm only a little over a point and a half over him. If Kerryon Johnson misses another game, that'll be huge blow to Matt's chances and since Kenny's team seems more deep, I'll take Kenny here.
SCLSU MudDogs (6-6) vs
Hoosier Daddy (4-8)
Yahoo Says: Ryan Wins
I Say: Ryan wins. Ryan, like Albert has done an excellent job playing the spoiler role after upsetting Mark last week. Believe it or not, as slim as it is, I think there's still a chance for Alex to make the playoffs. He'd need to win and the rest of the 6-6 teams have to lose. That's A LOT to ask for, but hey..a chance it's a chance. I just don't see Alex winning unfortunately.
No Soup For You (7-5) vs
Underdawg (5-7)
Yahoo Says: Leland wins
I Say: Leland wins. Leland went from a shoo in bye to needing to win this week to secure one. The silver lining is, Leland is 100% in, the worst he can finish is 4th seed, but it would be nice to avoid that extra week of work. Leland's two losses have been fluky to me, he lost a shootout where he put up 127 points, before that he lost to Matt by a mere 1 and a half points thanks to Mahomes going bonkers in that Rams/Chiefs Monday Night Shootout. I think he wins here. For Dad, win or loss doesn't matter, it's allllllllllll about points. He just needs a shootout to keep up points and hope that Mark loses and Mike scores low. If that happens, Dad can get in.
Rocket Man (6-6) vs
Trump 2020 (5-7)
Yahoo Says: Mike Wins
I say: Mike wins. Wow..what a difference 3 weeks makes. Eugene looked like a near lock for the #2 bye, now he's fighting for his playoff life. He's been on a 3 game losing streak, he lost Melvin Gordon, and even if A.J. Green does come back, who knows how effective he'll be his first week back and who knows how he'll perform with Jeff Driskel at QB. That's a lot of unknowns for me to be confident in Eugene's team. For Mike, just like Dad, it's not about wins and losses, it's about points. The more points Mike puts up, the better his gives himself for a chance to make the playoffs.
Tuesday, November 27, 2018
Week 12 Overview: Uncharted Territory
I've said it in the past before, but it rings more true than ever this year. This is the craziest, tightest playoff race in the history of the league. After 12 weeks, with 1 Week left in the season, not one team has clinched a playoff berth. That's beyond insane. Usually by now, there's at least one standout team record wise who's distanced themselves from the pack, but this year? Not one team has more than 7 wins. While 9 teams have at least 6 wins. The unpredictability is unprecedented and outside of Leland (he hasn't officially clinched but at worst, he's in by points) I don't know who's making it and what seed they'll land. Here's a recap of yet another crazy week in the Wane McGarity Bowl.
The Results
Rigmas Forever (7-5) 120.34
Light's Broken Bots (7-5) 112.62
I Am Queens Blvd (6-6) 102.44
Trump 2020 (5-7) 96.36
Underdawg (5-7) 137.06
SCLSU MudDogs (6-6) 89.12
Channel 4 News Team (6-6) 133.98
No Soup For You (7-5) 127.82
Scott's Tots (6-6) 153.40
Rocket Man (6-6) 97.28
Hoosier Daddy (4-8) 100.48
Shock The Monkey (7-5) 77.18
Top 5 Scorers
Christian McCaffrey (Scott's Tots) 41.20 Pts
Amari Cooper (Underdawg) 34.00 Pts
Juju Smith-Schuster (Light's Broken Bots) 31.40 Pts
Deshaun Watson (Scott's Tots) 31.40 Pts
Kirk Cousins (Channel 4 News Team) 30.38 Pts
Top 5 Duds
Michael Thomas (Rigmas Forever) 5.80 Pts
Alvin Kamara (Rigmas Forever) 10.30 Pts
George Kittle (Light's Broken Bots) 8.80 Pts
Aaron Rodgers (No Soup For You) 12.92 Pts
James Connor (Hoosier Daddy) 9.50 Pts
Highest Scoring Team
Scott's Tots (153.40 Pts)
Lowest Scoring Team
Shock The Monkey (77.18 Pts)
Biggest Blowout
56.12 Pts (Scott's Tots vs Rocket Man)
Closest Game
6.08 Pts (I Am Queens Blvd vs Trump 2020)
Week 12 Notes: When I wrote the Thursday Night Overview, I wrote it just after that disappointing Falcons/Saints game and my emotions were fresh. If you were to tell me that Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara would combine for 15 pts and Juju Smith-Schuster would score 31 and Thielen 22.5 and I'd WIN...I'd laugh in your face all day but yes for once..believe it or not luck was on my side. The rest of my team actually came through and did the heavy lifting with a pretty balanced attack. Such a crucial win, and officially as of now, I'm the 2nd seed with a bye (by a mere 1.5 pts over Matt). For Matt, it was opportunity to clinch a playoff spot but his team just came up short. Adam Theilin did his best and almost brought Matt all the way back. I honestly think if Mahomes wasn't on bye and Kerryon Johnson play, I lose so it was just the luck of the matchup for me. So now with playoff positioning on the line I take on Albert while Matt faces Kenny's red hot team. At least he'll have Mahomes back for that. So speaking of Kenny, his team has climbed all the way back to .500 and is firing on all cylinders. He easily dispatches of Eugene and outside of Leland, he's the next nearest lock for a playoff spot. Even if he loses, his points are so much higher than anyone else outside of Leland that he should make it. Kenny has a legit chance though of a actually finishing with a bye though he does need a lot of help on the front. For Eugene, it's been a disaster last 3 weeks. Not only has he lost A.J. Green for a few weeks now, but Marvin Jones was placed on IR and now Melvin Gordon is hurt and expected to miss multiple weeks. Marlon Mack is also in concussion protocol. Eugene has slid all the way to 6th and he might have another low scoring affair with so many key guys out. He'll take on Mike next, while Kenny takes on Matt. Talk about living up to his name, it looked like Dad's season was over a couple of weeks ago, but two straight high scoring weeks and wins and Dad is right back in the thick of things points wise. He still has a shot and it's not a 1 in a million shot. It's a decent shot. He completely obliterated Alex this week. He has a tough matchup with Leland, but honestly wins and losses don't matter to Dad, he just needs to put high points. For Alex, his team finally caught up with him. Hey, it's not his fault that injuries and Le'Veon Bell's holdout were a setback to his squad. Kudos to him for even getting to 6 wins, but this team just isn't that good as shown by the low over scoring of his team. I don't think there's a way Alex makes it regardless of winning or losing, but hey getting to above .500 would be a nice goal to achieve and he takes on Ryan next week. So Ryan played the role of spoiler perfectly this week easily defeating Mark in what was a terrible loss for him and could potentially end up leading to Mark being on the outside looking in. I've stated that Ryan's team is better than his record suggests and it definitely proved it this week. It's a shame Leonard Fournette was just never fully healthy because when he is, he's one the top fantasy backs in the league. Ryan might have to evaluate weather or not he wants to keep him next year. Those Chiefs byes killed Mark and he lost a LOT of ground points wise as he didn't even put up 80 points this week. Mark HAS TO win next week. The crazy thing is that everything is in play for Mark, a bye all the way to being eliminated. He takes on Drew next, who's not a slouch, while Ryan can once again play spoiler against Alex. Another team relishing in the spoiler role is Albert. Albert's team is so damn unpredictable and inconsistent, it's maddening. Last week Albert BARELY beat Alex, yet this week, he went toe to toe with Leland and outscored him in a shootout. Crazy stuff. His team has done this all year. Unfortunately in the grand scheme of things it doesn't mean much, but blocking a team from clinching a playoff spot has to feel good and he can do that to me next week (he's already beaten me in Week 2). For Leland..wow...am I jinx or what?! After I said "I don't think Leland is going to lose again" he promptly drops two straight. The frustrating thing is both losses have been under 10 pts (combined about 8 pts) and this week it's not like his team played awful, they scored 127, he just ran into Albert on a hot week. The silver lining is his playoff spot is not in doubt, he'll make it, but the bye isn't a lock and he takes on Dad next in a matchup that might be harder than it looks. And finally after a statement win last week, Mike fell to Drew this week in the week's closest game. Although it's not a great to lose, Mike still has a slim chance at that 6th seed via points if things go his way. Drew can still get to 7 wins and still has an outside shot as well, but at the very least he can mess Mark up by beating him next week.
Thursday, November 22, 2018
Thursday Night Overview: Turkey Day Ruined
Well...the rest of this week is just completely fucked for me as I'm now dreading Sunday and the inevitable loss I'm going to receive because..you guessed it....MY TEAM ONCE AGAIN COMES UP SMALL AS FUCK WHEN IT MATTERS. So FUCKING PREDICTABLE. In the most EASY MATCHUP POSSIBLE. Kamara and Michael Thomas underscore their projections by 25 points (through no fault of their own) and I'm just...done. Done because now my points will SUCK...and done because Matt still all his big guns to go while I completely wasted mine. I tell you...it's why I NEVER have ANY confidence. Laughably Yahoo has me as the favorite still, but Yahoo is a giant JOKE so there's no WAY IN HELL I fucking win. I'll end up getting blown out and have to pray Mike doesn't cut into my points lead. Unbelievable and as a sick joke, my first play of the week, Tarik Cohen, actually did GOOD and overscored on his projection. What a mean fucking trick. Beyond fucking irate. For Matt, he used up his flex play on Ito Smith, who sucked, but who CARES. It's not a big deal. His worst player played bad. My TWO BEST PLAYERS did nothing. HUGE DIFFERENCE. Fun fact..when Kamara and Michael Thomas bust together, I've never won. Also, still haven't had a 2 game winning streak since Weeks 3-4. From leading the league in scored points this week, to this. Just whatever the fuck ever. Drew and Mike both had the balls to start two of the random Saints receivers who scored TD's against each other (Kirkwood for Drew and Austin Carr for Mike) and that matchup is going to be as close as close can be. Drew's throwing darts at his WR's (he played Bruce Ellington as well) and yet still has a chance to pull of the win. Mike got a great game from Julio Jones and like I said Austin Carr scored, but Austin Hooper was disappointing. I don't really have a feeling either way, I just need Mike to NOT score 24 more points than me. Zeke has been amazing since Leland traded for him and I have no doubt it'll be smooth sailing for him against Albert this week, as he's already taken a 22.8 point lead. Things were looking kinda bleak for Eugene, but Calvin Ridley saved the day with a TD and because Mark Ingram underperformed for Kenny, Eugene's in the driver's seat in their matchup. Dad played his spoiler role to perfection as Amari Cooper WENT OFF with 34 points while Theo Riddick added 9.5 points. I don't see how Alex is going to survive that, but who knows. Allen Robinson was disappointing for Ryan and thanks to some Matt Ryan Garbage, and decent Kenny Golladay game, Mark's still got a solid chance to beat Ryan.
Wednesday, November 21, 2018
Week 12 Matchups and Predictions
The one thing I always hope for when playing in our league is still being in contention for the playoffs until at least Thanksgiving Week. I dunno, there's just something about meaningful football games and holidays that just feels right. Most years, I've at least been in contention, and this year is no different. Every week we get closer to the end of the regular season, the magnitude of the matchups increases ten fold. This year it feels like it increases 100 fold, because not one playoff spot has been clinched yet officially. A win here is CRUCIAL and there's a ton of pressure to make the right lineup decisions. This is going to be one of the most intense weeks we've seen in a long time. Here are this weeks Matchups and Predictions
Light's Broken Bots (7-4) vs
Rigmas Forever (6-5)
Yahoo Says: I win
I Say: Matt wins. Just because Yahoo was right last week, doesn't mean I have any confidence they'll be right again. Matt picked up a SUPER huge victory against Leland last week and is now in the driver's seat as far as the playoffs go. He basically just needs to win 1 of his last two and he should be good to go. I have seen zero consistency when it comes to my team. I haven't won back to back weeks since weeks 3/4 and then after dropping 2 straight, it's been nothing but alternating wins and losses each week and guess what...this week's turn is a loss. I know Matt's going to be without Mahomes and Kerryon Johnson, but let's not act like Tom Brady is Alex Smith or anything, despite his struggles. Also Juju/Gordon/Theilen/Gronk/Kittle all have dangerous high scoring upside. I also HATE the fact that I have 3 Thanksgiving plays, meaning this matchup has a chance to be over before the week even officially begins. I hate having to use Tarik Cohen because he's been just so bla the past couple of weeks. Until my team proves it can been consistent more than one week, I think Matt takes this and then I gotta hope for some help next week to keep my playoff hopes alive.
Trump 2020 (5-6) vs
I Am Queens Blvd (5-6)
Yahoo Says: Mike Wins
I Say: Drew wins. The winner keeps their faint playoff hopes alive, while the loser is basically done for the year. Mike and Drew swapped places after last week as Drew went from the Resurrected Hopeful to clinging on to a tiny chance at a playoff spot, while Mike's team was left for dead only to put up major points and score an upset against Mark and revive his playoff chances a bit. The loser here is probably done, unless high points are scored. Mike might be without Week 11 breakout star Tre'Quan Smith, while although Drew has no Todd Gurley, he still has Aaron Jones and Dalvin Cook. I give Drew the slight edge here.
Rocket Man (6-5) vs
Scott's Tots (5-6)
Yahoo Says: Kenny wins
I Say: Kenny wins. This is a HUGE matchup and this game is equally important for both teams. Kenny is 2nd in the league in points so beating Eugene would probably not only secure that points lead in case he needs it for the 6th seed, but Kenny would officially be in the playoffs record wise as well. For Eugene, a two game losing streak could not have come at a worse time. With A.J. Green's status up in the air (and also just how effective will he be if he does play) plus it looks like Eugene is going to have to rely on ol' wormhead Eli Manning, I think Kenny takes this week. For Eugene, he at the very least needs to put up some major points, because me and Matt are both close in points and there's a chance Eugene will be on the outside looking in if he can't put up points this week.
No Soup For You (7-4) vs
Channel 4 News Team (5-6)
Yahoo Says: Leland wins
I Say: Leland wins. Shockingly, Leland's 7 game win streak came to an end via a 1.5 point loss to Matt last week. We're still delaying the inevitable. Leland WILL get in. 7 wins and a HUGE points cushion makes it just a mere formality, but for his sake, it'd be nice to make it official this week. Even in victory Albert's team played terrible and overall Albert's 2nd to last in overall points. Leland "should" win this (I jinxed him last week, so maybe it happens again).
SLCSU MudDogs (6-5) vs
Underdawg (4-7)
Yahoo Says: Dad wins
I Say: Dad wins. Holy crap does this look bad. I had to look twice to see if Alex had empty roster spots, but nope, the team he's trucking out there, in a must win, survival game, is projected to score 77 points. Dad's a 35 point favorite, but we allllllllllllllll know how Alex's voodoo magic works. It wouldn't surprise me one bit if Alex won a 72-65 slugfest but Dad SHOULD win if everything is right with this world. A loss here for Alex would really crush his playoff hopes. He needs wins to get in, more importantly 2 wins. Dad might not be playing for anything, but playing spoiler isn't a bad consolation prize.
Shock The Monkey (7-4) vs
Hoosier Daddy (3-8)
Yahoo Says: Ryan Wins
I Say: Mark wins. Just like Leland, Mark blew a golden opportunity to actually take over the #1 seed. He got upset by Mike despite a brilliant comeback but this week, despite playing the team with the worst record in the league, he'll be without all his Chiefs players. That's right no Tyreek Hill and no Travis Kelce. This gives Ryan the opening he needs to play spoiler. Even though Ryan's the favorite, I think somehow Mark finds a way to win. If he doesn't though..man does it complicate an already complicated playoff race.
Light's Broken Bots (7-4) vs
Rigmas Forever (6-5)
Yahoo Says: I win
I Say: Matt wins. Just because Yahoo was right last week, doesn't mean I have any confidence they'll be right again. Matt picked up a SUPER huge victory against Leland last week and is now in the driver's seat as far as the playoffs go. He basically just needs to win 1 of his last two and he should be good to go. I have seen zero consistency when it comes to my team. I haven't won back to back weeks since weeks 3/4 and then after dropping 2 straight, it's been nothing but alternating wins and losses each week and guess what...this week's turn is a loss. I know Matt's going to be without Mahomes and Kerryon Johnson, but let's not act like Tom Brady is Alex Smith or anything, despite his struggles. Also Juju/Gordon/Theilen/Gronk/Kittle all have dangerous high scoring upside. I also HATE the fact that I have 3 Thanksgiving plays, meaning this matchup has a chance to be over before the week even officially begins. I hate having to use Tarik Cohen because he's been just so bla the past couple of weeks. Until my team proves it can been consistent more than one week, I think Matt takes this and then I gotta hope for some help next week to keep my playoff hopes alive.
Trump 2020 (5-6) vs
I Am Queens Blvd (5-6)
Yahoo Says: Mike Wins
I Say: Drew wins. The winner keeps their faint playoff hopes alive, while the loser is basically done for the year. Mike and Drew swapped places after last week as Drew went from the Resurrected Hopeful to clinging on to a tiny chance at a playoff spot, while Mike's team was left for dead only to put up major points and score an upset against Mark and revive his playoff chances a bit. The loser here is probably done, unless high points are scored. Mike might be without Week 11 breakout star Tre'Quan Smith, while although Drew has no Todd Gurley, he still has Aaron Jones and Dalvin Cook. I give Drew the slight edge here.
Rocket Man (6-5) vs
Scott's Tots (5-6)
Yahoo Says: Kenny wins
I Say: Kenny wins. This is a HUGE matchup and this game is equally important for both teams. Kenny is 2nd in the league in points so beating Eugene would probably not only secure that points lead in case he needs it for the 6th seed, but Kenny would officially be in the playoffs record wise as well. For Eugene, a two game losing streak could not have come at a worse time. With A.J. Green's status up in the air (and also just how effective will he be if he does play) plus it looks like Eugene is going to have to rely on ol' wormhead Eli Manning, I think Kenny takes this week. For Eugene, he at the very least needs to put up some major points, because me and Matt are both close in points and there's a chance Eugene will be on the outside looking in if he can't put up points this week.
No Soup For You (7-4) vs
Channel 4 News Team (5-6)
Yahoo Says: Leland wins
I Say: Leland wins. Shockingly, Leland's 7 game win streak came to an end via a 1.5 point loss to Matt last week. We're still delaying the inevitable. Leland WILL get in. 7 wins and a HUGE points cushion makes it just a mere formality, but for his sake, it'd be nice to make it official this week. Even in victory Albert's team played terrible and overall Albert's 2nd to last in overall points. Leland "should" win this (I jinxed him last week, so maybe it happens again).
SLCSU MudDogs (6-5) vs
Underdawg (4-7)
Yahoo Says: Dad wins
I Say: Dad wins. Holy crap does this look bad. I had to look twice to see if Alex had empty roster spots, but nope, the team he's trucking out there, in a must win, survival game, is projected to score 77 points. Dad's a 35 point favorite, but we allllllllllllllll know how Alex's voodoo magic works. It wouldn't surprise me one bit if Alex won a 72-65 slugfest but Dad SHOULD win if everything is right with this world. A loss here for Alex would really crush his playoff hopes. He needs wins to get in, more importantly 2 wins. Dad might not be playing for anything, but playing spoiler isn't a bad consolation prize.
Shock The Monkey (7-4) vs
Hoosier Daddy (3-8)
Yahoo Says: Ryan Wins
I Say: Mark wins. Just like Leland, Mark blew a golden opportunity to actually take over the #1 seed. He got upset by Mike despite a brilliant comeback but this week, despite playing the team with the worst record in the league, he'll be without all his Chiefs players. That's right no Tyreek Hill and no Travis Kelce. This gives Ryan the opening he needs to play spoiler. Even though Ryan's the favorite, I think somehow Mark finds a way to win. If he doesn't though..man does it complicate an already complicated playoff race.
Tuesday, November 20, 2018
Week 11 Overview: Pure Madness
I can't even put to words what happened in last night's Chiefs vs Rams game. It kinda sucks to not be able to FULLY enjoy it just because of the fantasy implications but it was still an entertaining game to watch. Not only critical for the real teams involved, but super critical for the league as we're down to the last couple of weeks of the regular season. This is shaping up to be one the tightest race we've had in a good long while as technically not one person has clinched a playoff spot after Week 11. In fact, in my opinion seeds #2-#6 are all wide open and so many things could happen that trying to predict who's going to be in could lead to insanity, Here's what happen on what was a crazy, unpredictable Week 11
The Results
Rigmas Forever (6-5) 131.08
Rocket Man (6-5) 90.58
Scott's Tots (5-6) 116.42
I Am Queens Blvd (5-6) 77.42
Underdawg (4-7) 122.52
Hoosier Daddy (3-8) 80.66
Channel 4 News Team (5-6) 82.94
SCLSU MudDogs (6-5) 66.78
Light's Broken Bots (7-4) 108.12
No Soup For You (7-4) 106.98
Trump 2020 (5-6) 129.84
Shock The Monkey (7-4) 127.54
Top 5 Scorers
Patrick Mahomes (Light's Broken Bots) 43.42 Pts
Jared Goff (Underdawg) 39.12 Pts
Tyreek Hill (Shock The Monkey) 38.50 Pts
Drew Brees (I Am Queens Blvd) 34.52 Pts
Saquon Barkley (Underdawg) 34.20 Pts
Top 5 Scorers (Non QB)
Tyreek Hill (Shock The Monkey) 38.50 Pts
Saquon Barkley (Underdawg) 34.20 Pts
T.Y. Hilton (Rigmas Forever) 32.00 Pts
Ezekiel Elliott (No Soup For You) 29.60 Pts
Mike Evans (Rocket Man) 27.00 Pts
Top 5 Duds
Carson Wentz (Channel 4 News Team) 2.34 Pts
James Connor (Hoosier Daddy) 7.90 Pts
Todd Gurley (I Am Queens Blvd) 10.90 Pts
Zach Ertz (Scott's Tots) 2.50 Pts
Ryan Fitzpatrick (Rocket Man) 9.58 Pts
Highest Scoring Team
Rigmas Forever (131.08 Pts)
Lowest Scoring Team
SLCSU MudDogs (66.78 Pts)
Biggest Blowout
41.86 Pts (Underdawg vs Hoosier Daddy)
Closest Game
1.14 Pts (Light's Broken Bots vs No Soup For You)
Week 11 Notes: Man...so this is what is soooooo maddening about team. No consistency whatsoever. Yes I won...Yes I scored the most points in the league for the 2nd time out of 3 weeks (with a loss sandwiched in between) but my team can never do it for more than a week at a time. They are obviously CAPABLE of it...they just don't. Regardless, this was a huge critical win aided by Eugene missing two of his top receivers (A.J. Green and Marvin Jones) and my team as a whole for the most part going off with T.Y. Hilton showing why you keep playing him despite weeks of unremarkable games. It's funny that I have no trust in my team whatsoever and never feel like I should be favored but if looked at this roster and it WASN'T mine..I'd be scared to face it. I'm sure people in the league would love me to not make the playoffs and I don't blame them one bit. I do have a good team..when they get it together it's damn near unbeatable. It wasn't just the win that has me happy, it's the points. A big week like that puts in the thick of the points race as well..as a fallback in case I drop a game or even lose out. I just gotta keep up points, as I'm only 11 pts from the 2nd most points in the league. To say next week's matchup vs Matt is huge is a GIGANTIC UNDERSTATEMENT. It's more than huge...it's basically a playoff game within the regular season. A win against Matt, increases my chances to make the playoffs that much more, while a win for Matt basically cements his playoff spot officially. For Eugene, it's been a rough couple of weeks. Points are keeping him a 4th seed, but he too has a critical matchup against Kenny which at the end of the day could drop Eugene to the brink of elimination. The good news is, he should at the very least be getting A.J. Green back, he's going to need as many fully healthy bodies as possible to take Kenny's deep team. So let's go to the thrilling upset Matt pulled which culminated last night when once again Patrick Mahomes managed to bail Matt out and give Matt a HUGE win against Leland's team who was on a 7 game winning streak. This matchup was literally decided at the very end and despite a final Mahomes pick, Matt won by a little over a point. Mahomes has been the catalyst of Matt's success..and in a matchup where Matt's playoff hopes are still up in the air he once again came up huge. Matt did suffer a bit of bad news as Kerryon Johnson suffered an injury that will at least keep him for next week. That, combined with Patrick Mahomes on bye (thank the lord) is a little worrisome for Matt, but he still has a pretty strong group of guys and I think they still can overcome that against me. For Leland, disappointing, but not really that big of a deal in the grand scheme of things. It delays the inevitable playoff clinch by 1 week, but he still has a large points lead with 2 weeks left in the season. He also gets Albert's team left and that should be the week he finally clinches. Kenny vs Drew was a big disappointment as after hyping Drew's team last week, his team came crashing down in a brutal loss. Aaron Jones started the week awesome, and Drew Brees did his part, but that was literally it. This is how stupid fantasy football is. In a game where there was 105 points scored, not only did Todd Gurley NOT score a TD, he literally has his worst game of the season by FAR. Unbelievable...how that happens WHO knows, but he saved his worst for the WORST time and Dalvin Cook got shut down as well. The loss is bad, but the low scoring is even WORSE..basically a death knell for Drew's playoff chances now. Kenny's team keeps cruising by winning and scoring high points, and he's now 2nd in points scored and has a ton of momentum. Points might not end mattering if Kenny ends up running the table though the schedule remains tough, with 2 playoff caliber teams left. Kenny gets Eugene next week in yet another HUGE matchup for the week, while Drew tries to keep his season on life support against another team fighting for their playoff life, Mike. Mike came THISCLOSE to blowing a huge lead against Mark last night, as Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce did their best to bring Mark back, but fell just a bit short. Mark only lost by 2.3 points and it's a HUGE loss playoff wise as he could've clinched a playoff spot this week. Instead, he's with the rest of us..still fighting and there's a chance he might miss the playoffs completely. On paper, he's facing the worst team next week in Ryan, but Ryan's team is not THAT bad and the fact that Mark has 3 Chiefs on bye is worrisome as well. It wont be a walk in the park win, and if he loses, there should be major worry having to rely in beating Drew in Week 13. For Mike, his team was left for dead but they responded in a MAJOR way. His points puts him back in the thick of things for the points race, and also keeps him alive record wise. Mike's got a deep solid team and he takes on Drew next. One of them will have their playoff hopes officially ended next week. Albert's disappointing season continues as he BARELY beats Alex and his super awful roster. There was a point on Sunday where I really thought Alex was going to do it yet again and win with like 65 fucking points. It's a win, but ugh. The points did Albert no favors but hey, if it keeps ya technically alive, it's better than being officially done. Stefon Diggs bailed Albert out. For Alex, there's nothing to say, this is what his team is. A low scoring group of Wild Card plays that somehow manages to survive because teams can't score on him. The only silver lining is his favorable schedule, but he now has to win out. Albert still has a sliver of hope, but he faces Leland next, who's coming off a bad loss. I fully expect Leland to bounce back. And finally in the irrelevant bowl, Dad got blowout of the week against Ryan. The only thing I'll say is, not keeping Devante Adams will be the biggest "what if" of the season for Dad. I really believe had he kept him over Devonta Freeman, Dad would be in the thick of the playoff race.
Saturday, November 17, 2018
Who's Getting In? A Look At The Playoff Race
This is one of my favorite posts to do as we're only 3 weeks away from the Fantasy Football Playoffs and technically nothing is concrete as far as playoffs go. In my opinion, there are still 10 teams that have some kind of shot to make it to the top 6. I've divided those teams in to tiers and here's how those 10 teams playoff outlook looks.
So losing this past week has kind of opened up the small possibility that Eugene might be in trouble. Key word is “might” because I still think he ends up ok. His schedule is kinda rough, and the lack of A.J. Green doesn’t help (though it's looking like Green could be back as early as next week). It’s entirely possible Eugene drop all 3 weeks, but I seriously doubt that happens. With his points in tow, I believe one win should be enough to get the job done and make the playoffs. I just can’t see this team losing out.
Basically In
Leland (No Soup For You)
Current Record: 7-3
Key Guys On Bye:
James White (Week 11) Nick Chubb (Week 11) Robert Woods (Week 12) Kareem
Hunt (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Matt
Albert
Dad
There’s no doubt Leland’s getting in. He leads the league in
points and tied for best record. He’s basically a lock for the playoffs and a
shoo in for a bye. The slight concern would be Leland has a number of prominent
players still having bye weeks, but Leland’s team is deep, he can seriously
cover them all. Conservatively, one win should lock a playoff spot and with
that schedule there’s no doubt he’ll get at least one.
Mark (Shock The Monkey)
Current Record: 7-3
Key Guys on Bye:
Tyreek Hill (Week 12) Travis Kelce (Week 12) Sammy Watkins (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Mike
Ryan
Drew
As the only other 7-3 team in the league, Mark’s on here by
default. He’s coming off a high scoring week, but his season points are not
great in the least for what his record is. He has a middle of the road schedule and already, this week is going to be a bigger fight than anticipated with Mike. Like
Leland, one win should be enough to get him though there could be problems if he does somehow drop this week to Mike. Ryan's team isn't nearly as bad as his record shows (plus Mark will be down his 3 Chiefs in week 12) and Drew's team is suddenly a powerhouse I wouldn't be 100% confident in playing against. Regardless, I’d be surprised if Mark doesn’t get it by
wins and take just one of those matchups, but in the event he drops 3 straight, it might be a little tough to get
in points wise, but even then his record might come in to play if that happens.
Almost But Quite Not There
Eugene (Rocket Man)
Current Record: 6-4
Key Guys On Bye: Matt Breida (Week 11)
Remaining Schedule
Me
Kenny
Mike
So losing this past week has kind of opened up the small possibility that Eugene might be in trouble. Key word is “might” because I still think he ends up ok. His schedule is kinda rough, and the lack of A.J. Green doesn’t help (though it's looking like Green could be back as early as next week). It’s entirely possible Eugene drop all 3 weeks, but I seriously doubt that happens. With his points in tow, I believe one win should be enough to get the job done and make the playoffs. I just can’t see this team losing out.
The Next Three in
Honestly, after those three “near locks” it becomes damn
near hard to speculate who can get in, especially with the new 6th
seed scoring rule in effect. Here’s my opinion on who’s going to get in and get
the final 3 spots.
Kenny (Scott’s Tots)
Current Record (4-6)
Key Guys On Bye: Julian Edelman (Week 11)
Remaining Schedule
Drew
Eugene
Matt
It’s crazy that I think the 6th seed is damn near
closer to being locked up than the 4th and 5th seeds. So
why do I give Kenny the edge over the rest of us? Out of the teams that I
believe will be competing for the 6th seed via points, he has a
comfortable nearly 30 point lead. With only 3 games left and the way his team
is playing, I just don’t see him losing the points lead. He even still has an
outside shot to just make the playoffs via record if he can win outright to get
to 7 wins, though admittedly that schedule is pretty tough and Aaron Jones has already put him in a big hole against Drew. He could actually
end up losing all 3 just as much as he can win them. Still having the points to
fall back is very crucial and could be his ticket into the playoffs.
Matt (Light’s Broken Bots)
Current Record (6-4)
Key Guys On Bye: Josh Gordon (Week 11) Rob Gronkowski (Week
11) Duke Johnson (Week 11) George Kittle (Week 11) Frank Gore (Week 11) Tom
Brady (Week 11) Patrick Mahomes (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Leland
Me
Kenny
Had Matt not lost to Alex this past week, I think he
would’ve been on the near lock stage, but there’s gotta be a little bit of
concern here as Matt does have a pretty tough schedule. Another thing hurting
Matt is so many late season bye weeks. A lot of his team is on bye against Leland
for Week 11, while in Week 12 he’ll have no Mahomes against me. I still give
Matt the edge here because he can actually afford to drop 2 and still have a
chance thanks to his points, but it wouldn’t be crazy at all if he dropped all
3 matchups and got stuck on 6 wins.
Alex (SCLSU MudDogs)
Current Record (6-4)
Key Guys on Bye: Isaiah Crowell (Week 11) LeSean McCoy (Week
11) Brandin Cooks (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Albert
Dad
Ryan
I still think Alex is one of the more vulnerable teams
because of his points, but since he still has at least a game over me and Drew
and his schedule isn’t that intimidating I put him as the final team in the
playoffs. As thin as his roster is, having any guys on bye is going to be a
hurdle, but he’s got the softest schedule of the teams vying for a playoff
spot which means he should be competitive enough at the very least (though this week already looks like a lost cause). The way the season has been going for him, I just can't count him out because every time I think he should lose, he wins. If he doesn’t pick up 2 or more wins though,
he’ll be on the bubble because of his low points.
Still In The Hunt
The next tier is basically 2 teams I feel like could have a
chance but need help and things to go their way
Drew (I Am Queens Blvd)
Current Record (5-5)
Key Guys on Bye: Todd
Gurley (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Kenny
Mike
Mark
I put Drew over me because I just don’t have confidence in
my team and though I still have a slight lead in points over Drew, his team is
trending upward with the emergence of Aaron Jones and reemergence of Dalvin
Cook. Drew’s biggest gun is out Week 12 in Todd Gurley which could be a mild
concern, but he’s facing Mike’s struggling team that week so he might be able
to overcome it. Kenny provides a
challenge, but Mike and Mark seem like winnable matchups for Drew. I’d say he
has a decent chance to maybe get in if he can win 2 out of 3 and get a couple
of high scoring weeks under his belt he’ll also need either Matt or Alex to
somehow drop out of the picture and lose.
Me (Rigmas Forever)
Current Record (5-5)
Key Guys On Bye: Sony Michel (Week 11)
Remaining Schedule
Eugene
Matt
Albert
After this past week’s shitty loss to Drew, I’ll never do
optimism again because there’s never a reason to when it comes to Fantasy
Football and my luck. I bet only 1% of total teams in Yahoo miss the playoffs
with a team consisting of Cam Newton, Michael Thomas, and Alvin Kamara, but
here I am, about to miss the playoffs. Irony, that the playoff structure fucked
me so many years (3 out of the 4 years I’ve missed the playoffs, I would’ve
gotten in by points, it’s a reason why I wanted the rule change) and now that
we finally change the rules, I’ll be the first one to get fucked because in the
old system, I’m actually still 6th place and wouldn’t be as
pessimistic about my playoff chances. Under the revised system, I’m “fake 6th”
and really 7th because Kenny leads in points by a wide margin. So
how do I get in? Easy..win out..you know, win 3 in a row, something I haven’t
done all season (longest winning streak is 2, and I only did that once). Not to
mention my schedule..the 3rd and 4th seeded guys in the
playoffs back to back, then play a team that sucks, but blew me out and had
their best game of the season against me in Week 2. Yeah..this isn’t happening.
I’ll probably get a bye…in THE LOSER BRACKET and do my best to win that. Losing
to Drew was a HUGE blow to my playoff chances. Because Yahoo is a sick and
twisted entity OF COURSE I’m favored to win all 3 matchups! You know just like
the other 8 times this year I have been favored (but wait..my record is 5-5 not
8-2?! HOW CAN THAT BE!?). Anyhow should shock of all shocks Yahoo somehow be wrong in their projections,
I can literally only afford to drop 1 game and then I’ll start needing help
(Keeping my points up, and needing Drew to drop 1 game, Alex to drop 2 games,
Matt to drop all 3 games etc). I wonder who’ll be available next year when I
draft #1 overall (who am I kidding, I’ll end up losing that too)
The Longest Of Long Shots
Mike (Trump 2020)
Current Record (4-6)
Key Guys On Bye: Jarvis Landry (Week 11)
Remaining Schedule
Mark
Drew
Eugene
Basically only put Mike on here, because if he wins out he
can get to 7 wins, but depending on points that might not even matter. So Mike
had a tough start where his team played awesome but his team still lost, then
went on a 4 game winning streak and really looked like his team was going to
turn it around, before sputtering to a current 4 game losing streak. He’s
fallen behind in points, just lost Cooper Kupp to a torn ACL, and has a pretty
difficult schedule where he won’t be favored in any of the matchups (though he's starting this week off great after that Davante Adams play). It would
take a ton of work and help for Mike to make it, but as small of a chance there
is of that happening, it’s still a chance. Never say never.
Albert (Channel 4 News Team)
Current Record (4-6)
Key Guys On Bye: Kenyon Drake (Week 11) David Njoku (Week
11)
Remaining Schedule
Alex
Leland
Me
So Albert, like Mike, can still get to 7 wins, which
technically keeps him alive, but he’s in way worse shape points wise than Mike
is. Albert’s team is so perplexing, it’s like a poor man’s version of mine,
where on paper, he has a crap load of talented guys, they’ve just been
disappointing. These past two weeks, injuries and byes have really hurt Albert.
His schedule looks Ok , except for Leland in the middle. Me and Alex are
definitely winnable matchups (he already beat me in Week 2 with basically the
same squad he has now and this week is looking like a shoo in win against Alex) but having to face Leland at his hottest probably will
squash any chance he had in the playoffs. Even if he somehow gets survives and
gets 7 wins, more than likely his ceiling is a fake 6th place
finish. Still as long as points are the ultimate variable and the 7 wins
threshold is still attainable, Albert’s still “in the running” but barely.
Dad and Ryan are the only two teams that are 100% out of it.
They can only get to 6 wins if they win out and they don’t have the points to
compete for the 6th seed.
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