Basically In
Leland (No Soup For You)
Current Record: 7-3
Key Guys On Bye:
James White (Week 11) Nick Chubb (Week 11) Robert Woods (Week 12) Kareem
Hunt (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Matt
Albert
Dad
There’s no doubt Leland’s getting in. He leads the league in
points and tied for best record. He’s basically a lock for the playoffs and a
shoo in for a bye. The slight concern would be Leland has a number of prominent
players still having bye weeks, but Leland’s team is deep, he can seriously
cover them all. Conservatively, one win should lock a playoff spot and with
that schedule there’s no doubt he’ll get at least one.
Mark (Shock The Monkey)
Current Record: 7-3
Key Guys on Bye:
Tyreek Hill (Week 12) Travis Kelce (Week 12) Sammy Watkins (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Mike
Ryan
Drew
As the only other 7-3 team in the league, Mark’s on here by
default. He’s coming off a high scoring week, but his season points are not
great in the least for what his record is. He has a middle of the road schedule and already, this week is going to be a bigger fight than anticipated with Mike. Like
Leland, one win should be enough to get him though there could be problems if he does somehow drop this week to Mike. Ryan's team isn't nearly as bad as his record shows (plus Mark will be down his 3 Chiefs in week 12) and Drew's team is suddenly a powerhouse I wouldn't be 100% confident in playing against. Regardless, I’d be surprised if Mark doesn’t get it by
wins and take just one of those matchups, but in the event he drops 3 straight, it might be a little tough to get
in points wise, but even then his record might come in to play if that happens.
Almost But Quite Not There
Eugene (Rocket Man)
Current Record: 6-4
Key Guys On Bye: Matt Breida (Week 11)
Remaining Schedule
Me
Kenny
Mike
So losing this past week has kind of opened up the small possibility that Eugene might be in trouble. Key word is “might” because I still think he ends up ok. His schedule is kinda rough, and the lack of A.J. Green doesn’t help (though it's looking like Green could be back as early as next week). It’s entirely possible Eugene drop all 3 weeks, but I seriously doubt that happens. With his points in tow, I believe one win should be enough to get the job done and make the playoffs. I just can’t see this team losing out.
The Next Three in
Honestly, after those three “near locks” it becomes damn
near hard to speculate who can get in, especially with the new 6th
seed scoring rule in effect. Here’s my opinion on who’s going to get in and get
the final 3 spots.
Kenny (Scott’s Tots)
Current Record (4-6)
Key Guys On Bye: Julian Edelman (Week 11)
Remaining Schedule
Drew
Eugene
Matt
It’s crazy that I think the 6th seed is damn near
closer to being locked up than the 4th and 5th seeds. So
why do I give Kenny the edge over the rest of us? Out of the teams that I
believe will be competing for the 6th seed via points, he has a
comfortable nearly 30 point lead. With only 3 games left and the way his team
is playing, I just don’t see him losing the points lead. He even still has an
outside shot to just make the playoffs via record if he can win outright to get
to 7 wins, though admittedly that schedule is pretty tough and Aaron Jones has already put him in a big hole against Drew. He could actually
end up losing all 3 just as much as he can win them. Still having the points to
fall back is very crucial and could be his ticket into the playoffs.
Matt (Light’s Broken Bots)
Current Record (6-4)
Key Guys On Bye: Josh Gordon (Week 11) Rob Gronkowski (Week
11) Duke Johnson (Week 11) George Kittle (Week 11) Frank Gore (Week 11) Tom
Brady (Week 11) Patrick Mahomes (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Leland
Me
Kenny
Had Matt not lost to Alex this past week, I think he
would’ve been on the near lock stage, but there’s gotta be a little bit of
concern here as Matt does have a pretty tough schedule. Another thing hurting
Matt is so many late season bye weeks. A lot of his team is on bye against Leland
for Week 11, while in Week 12 he’ll have no Mahomes against me. I still give
Matt the edge here because he can actually afford to drop 2 and still have a
chance thanks to his points, but it wouldn’t be crazy at all if he dropped all
3 matchups and got stuck on 6 wins.
Alex (SCLSU MudDogs)
Current Record (6-4)
Key Guys on Bye: Isaiah Crowell (Week 11) LeSean McCoy (Week
11) Brandin Cooks (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Albert
Dad
Ryan
I still think Alex is one of the more vulnerable teams
because of his points, but since he still has at least a game over me and Drew
and his schedule isn’t that intimidating I put him as the final team in the
playoffs. As thin as his roster is, having any guys on bye is going to be a
hurdle, but he’s got the softest schedule of the teams vying for a playoff
spot which means he should be competitive enough at the very least (though this week already looks like a lost cause). The way the season has been going for him, I just can't count him out because every time I think he should lose, he wins. If he doesn’t pick up 2 or more wins though,
he’ll be on the bubble because of his low points.
Still In The Hunt
The next tier is basically 2 teams I feel like could have a
chance but need help and things to go their way
Drew (I Am Queens Blvd)
Current Record (5-5)
Key Guys on Bye: Todd
Gurley (Week 12)
Remaining Schedule
Kenny
Mike
Mark
I put Drew over me because I just don’t have confidence in
my team and though I still have a slight lead in points over Drew, his team is
trending upward with the emergence of Aaron Jones and reemergence of Dalvin
Cook. Drew’s biggest gun is out Week 12 in Todd Gurley which could be a mild
concern, but he’s facing Mike’s struggling team that week so he might be able
to overcome it. Kenny provides a
challenge, but Mike and Mark seem like winnable matchups for Drew. I’d say he
has a decent chance to maybe get in if he can win 2 out of 3 and get a couple
of high scoring weeks under his belt he’ll also need either Matt or Alex to
somehow drop out of the picture and lose.
Me (Rigmas Forever)
Current Record (5-5)
Key Guys On Bye: Sony Michel (Week 11)
Remaining Schedule
Eugene
Matt
Albert
After this past week’s shitty loss to Drew, I’ll never do
optimism again because there’s never a reason to when it comes to Fantasy
Football and my luck. I bet only 1% of total teams in Yahoo miss the playoffs
with a team consisting of Cam Newton, Michael Thomas, and Alvin Kamara, but
here I am, about to miss the playoffs. Irony, that the playoff structure fucked
me so many years (3 out of the 4 years I’ve missed the playoffs, I would’ve
gotten in by points, it’s a reason why I wanted the rule change) and now that
we finally change the rules, I’ll be the first one to get fucked because in the
old system, I’m actually still 6th place and wouldn’t be as
pessimistic about my playoff chances. Under the revised system, I’m “fake 6th”
and really 7th because Kenny leads in points by a wide margin. So
how do I get in? Easy..win out..you know, win 3 in a row, something I haven’t
done all season (longest winning streak is 2, and I only did that once). Not to
mention my schedule..the 3rd and 4th seeded guys in the
playoffs back to back, then play a team that sucks, but blew me out and had
their best game of the season against me in Week 2. Yeah..this isn’t happening.
I’ll probably get a bye…in THE LOSER BRACKET and do my best to win that. Losing
to Drew was a HUGE blow to my playoff chances. Because Yahoo is a sick and
twisted entity OF COURSE I’m favored to win all 3 matchups! You know just like
the other 8 times this year I have been favored (but wait..my record is 5-5 not
8-2?! HOW CAN THAT BE!?). Anyhow should shock of all shocks Yahoo somehow be wrong in their projections,
I can literally only afford to drop 1 game and then I’ll start needing help
(Keeping my points up, and needing Drew to drop 1 game, Alex to drop 2 games,
Matt to drop all 3 games etc). I wonder who’ll be available next year when I
draft #1 overall (who am I kidding, I’ll end up losing that too)
The Longest Of Long Shots
Mike (Trump 2020)
Current Record (4-6)
Key Guys On Bye: Jarvis Landry (Week 11)
Remaining Schedule
Mark
Drew
Eugene
Basically only put Mike on here, because if he wins out he
can get to 7 wins, but depending on points that might not even matter. So Mike
had a tough start where his team played awesome but his team still lost, then
went on a 4 game winning streak and really looked like his team was going to
turn it around, before sputtering to a current 4 game losing streak. He’s
fallen behind in points, just lost Cooper Kupp to a torn ACL, and has a pretty
difficult schedule where he won’t be favored in any of the matchups (though he's starting this week off great after that Davante Adams play). It would
take a ton of work and help for Mike to make it, but as small of a chance there
is of that happening, it’s still a chance. Never say never.
Albert (Channel 4 News Team)
Current Record (4-6)
Key Guys On Bye: Kenyon Drake (Week 11) David Njoku (Week
11)
Remaining Schedule
Alex
Leland
Me
So Albert, like Mike, can still get to 7 wins, which
technically keeps him alive, but he’s in way worse shape points wise than Mike
is. Albert’s team is so perplexing, it’s like a poor man’s version of mine,
where on paper, he has a crap load of talented guys, they’ve just been
disappointing. These past two weeks, injuries and byes have really hurt Albert.
His schedule looks Ok , except for Leland in the middle. Me and Alex are
definitely winnable matchups (he already beat me in Week 2 with basically the
same squad he has now and this week is looking like a shoo in win against Alex) but having to face Leland at his hottest probably will
squash any chance he had in the playoffs. Even if he somehow gets survives and
gets 7 wins, more than likely his ceiling is a fake 6th place
finish. Still as long as points are the ultimate variable and the 7 wins
threshold is still attainable, Albert’s still “in the running” but barely.
Dad and Ryan are the only two teams that are 100% out of it.
They can only get to 6 wins if they win out and they don’t have the points to
compete for the 6th seed.
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