Saturday, September 7, 2013

Thursday Night Overview: Peyton's Historic Game + First Big Trade

Manning puts Broncos on his broad shoulders 
 Before We get to what was an amazing start to the NFL season, We're not even three days into the season and we've already had our first major trade. Leland, who was in desperate need of QB, made a trade with Kenny for Matthew Stafford. Remember in my draft grades I said Kenny's shrewd draft move of drafting Matthew Stafford after already drafting Drew Brees would pay off? It sure did as Leland waited too long to draft a QB and ended up with Jay Cutler as his QB, paid a ransom for Stafford's services. Leland shipped off Randall Cobb and Chris Johnson for Stafford, Lamar Miller, and James Jones. My analysis? It was a move Leland had to make in my opinion. You can't go all season with Jay Cutler as your QB and the only teams that would be willing to trade would be ones with more than adequate backups. Kenny had the best backup in the league, as Stafford is usually a bonafide starter in 12 team leagues. He had to make the deal, but it cost him dearly. His #1 receiver, his #2 running back (also happened to be his 2nd and 3rd round picks) is kinda pricey. For Kenny, it's a great trade. He adds depth and doesn't really give up much on his side in return as he wasn't going to use Stafford but for one bye week. Kenny's receivers are now Demaryius Thomas, Randall Cobb, and Antonio Brown, not to mention he still has Percy Harvin Stashed for when he comes back. Kenny's RB Combo of Doug Martin/Chris Johnson is also upgraded. This moves Kenny into top 3 teams in contention on paper. Leland needs Lamar Thomas to break out for this trade to be really worth the price of Stafford. We'll see how this pans out throughout the season. Anyways, back to Thursday night's kickoff game. Wow...what a game it was. Experts who say you should "wait for a QB late" should ask Albert how he feels about getting 7 TOUCHDOWNS from Peyton Manning. Yeah, I don't care what they say, you'll get great production from later QB's like Tony Romo, but Elite QB's are ELITE for a reason and I believe are well worth the higher draft price (though Manning was a STEAL in round 4). 46 points from one player...that's going to be tough to overcome for sure and I'm pretty sure we know who's winning the first Stud of the Week award. It's even scarier for opponents facing Manning because he found yet ANOTHER weapon to go to in their TE Julius Thomas (2 TD's ON MY BENCH NATURALLY). I think the Manning for Brady tradeoff worked out pretty well for Albert. Don't think he'll miss Brady much at all. Here's a look around the league at the other teams who had players in the Broncos-Ravens game.

Passion ofthe Puente- "Fantasy Experts" are as bogus as weathermen. How these people make a living as experts is beyond me as they're just as informative and right/wrong as everyday people like you and me are. For example, this week Matthew Berry very cocky and snobbishly proclaimed his dislike for Wes Welker this week not only his column but on ESPN as well. Tim Hasselbeck disagreed with him and said he would have a monster game with 10 catches only for Berry to snidely remark "yeah, I'm going to take the under on that". Well guess what asshole? 9 catches for 67 yards and 2 TD's. Only black mark was a muffed punt but still 20.5 points for a guy who was supposed to be nonexistent?? Yeah, I LOATHE experts. It doesn't take a genius or stats to know, you're starting WES WELKER no matter what, especially in a 12 team league. These guys really don't help worth a dick, but they pound their chest when they're right, and sweep away their mistakes (Ryan Mathews as a stud RB 1 for 3 years) and proclaim "you shouldn't rely on them to set your lineups. THEN WHAT ARE THEY GETTING PAID FOR?!? Anyways, Mike Posey's pretty happy with "hateable" Wes Welker. 

Not Even Lying- This was getting very dicey for Kenny, as Demaryius Thomas was pretty invisible for the 1st half of the game and was held to 5 points for all of the first half and all of the 3rd quarter. Finally at the beginning of the 4th Thomas get a TD. Kenny was just relieved with that. Late in the game though, Thomas had a ridiculous 78 yard TD to help him finish with 30.5 points for the game. Freaking insane. Proof how dangerous Thomas can be and just the beginning of what could be an offensive onslaught of points as Kenny adds Randall Cobb and Chris Johnson to his squad Sunday.

The Bad Robofies- The funny thing about Ray Rice, is a boring uninspiring Rice game STILL leads to 16 points. 36 rushing yards is bust worthy for a player like Ray Rice, but 1 TD and 8 catches for 35 yards saved what could've been a disasterous start. That's the good thing about Rice in a PPR, receiving stats will bump him tremendously. So yes ,it couldve been better, but it could've been a hell of a lot worse.

Springville Warrior- On the flip side of this matchup, Eugene had a terrible performance from Eric Decker. Drops galore (including a gimmie TD) and he even fumbled a catch (luckily out of bounds). That's thing with the Denver receivers. Decker and Welker will have interchangeable hot and cold games. That's the risk when drafting them. Unfortunately this week was a cold week to the tune of only 4 points.

Hoosier Daddy- We already discussed Albert and his 46 point Peyton Manning Performance. How about his opponent. Not a great week to face Albert, but that's how the schedule unfortunately works for Ryan. Ryan had Torrey Smith and he wasn't great but wasn't too bad either. An average performance. As many times as Flacco threw the ball, it was disappointing to see Smith not targeted as often as you would think. He got 4 catches for 92 yards. He'll need the rest of his team to step up to overcome the giant lead Peyton Manning gave Albert.

Me, Matt, Drew, Leland, Mark, and Mayra didn't have Thursday Night plays.


Wednesday, September 4, 2013

Week 1 Matchups and Predictions

 
We don't have any time to waste as the season starts Thursday Night with the Broncos vs Ravens. Draft is in the books and now it's time to play the games! Time for the Week 1 Matchups and Predictions!

Danny's Little Giants (0-0) vs
Tebow4President (0-0)

 Matchup Stats
All Time Record: I lead Series 2-1-1
Last Matchup: We tied 111.50-111.50 in Week 12 of the 2012 season

Key Players
Danny's Little Giants: Cam Newton (Seahawks) Larry Fitzgerald (Rams) Pierre Garcon (Eagles) LeSean McCoy (Redskins) David Wilson (Cowboys)

Tebow4President: C.J. Spiller (Patriots) Chris Johnson (Steelers) Randall Cobb (Giants) 

Wild Cards
Danny's Little Giants: David Wilson's first full start. Newton facing tough Seattle Defense

Tebow4President: Cutler at QB. T.Y. Hilton's role in Indy's offense. Spiller worth the 1st overall pick? Can Brandon Myers adequately fill in for Gronk?

Predictions
Yahoo Says: I win 94-85
I Say: I win. I NEVER pick myself, especially out of the gate, but if I'm gonna want to erase last season's taste out of my mouth, I have to win week 1. I worry about Cam being disappointing considering the matchup against a tough Seattle Defense, but hopefully the totality of my team can overcome Leland's team with Jay Cutler at QB and Brandon Myers at TE. I think it'll be close.

Dr. Light's Robots (0-0)  vs
I'm a Paul Heyman Guy (0-0)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Matt Leads Series 2-1-1
Last Matchup: Drew beat Matt 120.50-108 in Week 10 of the 2012 season

Key Players
Dr. Light's Robots: Robert Griffin III (Eagles) Roddy White (Saints) Jordy Nelson (49ers) Reggie Wayne (Raiders) Jamaal Charles (Jaguars) Maurice Jones Drew (Chiefs) 

I'm a Paul Heyman Guy: Andrew Luck (Raiders) Danny Amendola (Bills) Hakeem Nicks (Cowboys) Adrian Peterson (Lions) Reggie Bush (Vikings)

Wild Cards
Dr. Light's Robots: RG III ready to go? Health of Roddy White and Reggie Wayne. MJD's first real game after surgery.

I'm a Paul Heyman Guy: Health of Amendola and Nicks. Andrew Luck ready to take a giant leap? Reggie Bush's first regular season game as a Lion.

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Matt wins 102-97
I say: Matt wins. I think it'll be close, but I'll agree with Yahoo and give Matt the slight edge over Drew in this Cousin vs Cousin rivalry. I can see this being a high scoring affair, crushing the predictions Yahoo has set.

Passion ofthe Puente (0-0) vs
Bigger Balls (0-0)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Mayra Leads Series 1-0
Last Matchup: Mayra beat Mike 144-95 in Week 5 of the 2012 season

Key Players
Passion ofthe Puente: Tony Romo (Giants) Brandon Marshall (Bengals) Vincent Jackson (Jets) Wes Welker (Ravens) Arian Foster (Chargers) Tony Gonzalez (Saints)

Bigger Balls: Aaron Rodgers (49ers) Calvin Johnson (Vikings) Dez Bryant (Giants) Darren Sproles (Falcons)

Wild Cards
Passion ofthe Puente: Health of Brandon Marshall/Arian Foster. Wes Welker's role in Denver Offense. Ahmad Bradshaw's Week Status

Bigger Balls: Mendenhall a legit RB #2? Vernon Davis finally live up to expectations?

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Mayra wins 97-94
I say: Mike wins. This is tough. One of the two teams I think has a great shot to win it all is going to start 0-1. I give the RB edge to Mike and it's a greater edge in my opinion than Mayra's WR edge. I think RB play will be the big difference.

Not Even Lying (0-0) vs
Shock the Monkey (0-0)
No Matchup Stats Available

Key Players
Not Even Lying: Drew Brees (Falcons) Demaryius Thomas (Ravens) Doug Martin (Jets) Lamar Miller (Browns)

Shock The Monkey: Matt Ryan (Saints) Victor Cruz (Cowboys) Matt Forte (Bengals) Steven Jackson (Saints) Jason Witten (Giants)

Wild Cards: 
Not Even Lying: Doug Martin's expectations. Lamar Miller's touches. Kenbrell's Thompkins startable?

Shock The Monkey: Forte/Jackson live up to draft status. Dwyane Bowe's rule in new offense. Sudfeld Startable?

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Mark wins 98.39-98.35
I say: Kenny wins. Only 4 tenths of a point separate this prediction. Mark makes his debut again a tough  Kenny team. I think Kenny's team is a tad better this week, but it should be close (theme of the week).

The Bad Robofies (0-0) vs
Springville-Warrior (0-0)

No Matchup Stats

Key Players
The Bad Robofies: Colin Kaepernick (Packers) Andre Johnson (Chargers) Ray Rice (Denver) Jimmy Graham (Falcons)

Springville-Warrior: Russell Wilson (Panthers) Julio Jones (Saints) Trent Richardson (Dolphins) 

Wild Cards
The Bad Robofies: McFadden's effectiveness 

Spingville-Warrior: Demarco Murray's effectiveness, Tavon Austin's first official NFL Game

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Dad wins 95-92
I Say: Dad wins. This is pretty much a tossup. It might come down to the battle of RB 2's McFadden vs Murray. I'd give that edge to Murray. The tight end edge though should swing big time in Dad's favor. A 3 point win sounds about right.

Channel 4 News Team (0-0) vs
Hoosier Daddy (0-0)

Matchup Stats
All Time Record: Albert Leads series 5-3
Last Matchup: Ryan beat Albert 105-91 in  Week 11 of the 2012 season

Key Players
Channel 4 News Team: Peyton Manning (Ravens) A.J. Green (Bears) Alfred Morris (Eagles) Frank Gore (Packers) 

Hoosier Daddy: Tom Brady (Bills) Marques Colston (Falcons) Marshawn Lynch (Panthers) Stevan Ridley (Bills)

Wild Cards
Channel 4 News Team: Mike Wallace in first game with Dolphins. Is Jermichael Finley going to step up?

Hoosier Daddy: Who is Ryan going to use at Tight End? 

Predictions
Yahoo Says: 92-83
I Say: Albert. This is tough because I have no clue who Ryan is going to use at tight end. I'll give the slight edge to Albert. 

  
 
 

Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Draft Results and Grades!

 


Oh do I love the draft. It's where teams are built and championships are won and lost. It's also unpredictable, chaotic, and fun. The best part about this year? Everyone was here and showed up to draft! It was full of drama and intrigue. Once again, the #1 pick was a shocker to say the least. Leland took C.J. Spiller over Adrian Peterson. Spiller has a super high upside, and Leland is the defending champions. It's gutsy moves like that that can win titles. So now with the draft in the books here's my 100% worthless and very wrong analysis of each team's draft. Remember, I'm the guy who said Albert's team sucked and he had the worst draft of the year and he made the finals..so basically I don't know crap lol. Nevertheless, it's tradition. So here we go!!

Leland (Tebow4President)
QB- Jay Cutler
WR- Randall Cobb, T.Y. Hilton, Miles Austin, Deandre Hopkins, Markus Wheaton, Keenan Allen
RB- C.J. Spiller, Chris Johnson, Montee Ball, Danny Woodhead, Christine Michael
TE-Rob Gronkowski, Brandon Myers

Leland kicked off our draft and "shocked the league" by bypassing Adrian Peterson for the talents of C.J. Spiller. Spiller is very intriguing and his upside is monumental. If there's a guy with the upside to outperform Peterson it's Spiller. It's also risky because of the lack any other real playmakers on the Bills team. Spiller will also be the main featured back, which is a first for him in his short career. Leland took a ton of fliers on high upside guys. DeAndre Hopkins, Markus Wheaton, Keenan Allen, Montee Ball and Christine Michael. I actually like this approach because with a league so deep, you have to take chances on these kind of players. All it takes is one to blow up and it can be a game changer. Now on the receiver side, I really like T.Y. Hilton and don't get how the Colts have Darius Heyward Bey ahead of him in the depth chart. That will probably change FAST. Miles Austin is very brittle, but when healthy in that Cowboys offense he's very productive. This is where those WR's with upside are crucial. If Austin goes down, and he has great odds of that happening, Leland will have to hope one of them can fill in. I'm very skeptical about  Chris Johnson, but really I'm skeptical of A LOT of RB's and this is not a bad pick at all. Another risky pick. Rob Gronkowski. Gronkowski is by far with a shadow of a doubt the #1 tight end in the game today....but again health is key. This could end up being the steal of the draft or turn into a disaster. Leland will lean on Brandon Myers until Gronk gets back on the field. If he can survive until Gronk gets back, he'll be a very dangerous team. I'm not a big fan of the QB. Jay Cutler hasn't really been a fantasy friendly QB in a few years, despit having Matt Forte and Brandon Marshall. Now maybe with a new head coach that'll change, but it's taking a giant risk to go with Cutler for a full season. Also with no backup QB on the roster, Leland might have to lean on a Ryan Tannehill or Brandon Weeden for a spot start. It's by far the biggest weakness on his team right now. Hopefully the rest of the team can pick up the slack.

Overall Grade: B, I know I'm tempting fate (especially since I damn play him THIS WEEK), but I can't go higher than a B, only because there's a lot of guys on this team that are question marks. If Spiller lives up to the hype and Gronk doesn't miss much time, this team is probably GOLD. If not, combined with unproven rookies and a low end QB, it might be disasterous. But who am I to question the league champ when I only won 5 damn games last season? Leland knows what he's doing and this team could go under the radar in the beginning of the season before going off and becoming dominant. 

Drew (I'm a Paul Heyman Guy)
QB-Andrew Luck, Sam Bradford
WR- Danny Amendola, Hakeem Nicks, Cecil Shorts, Michael Floyd, Vincent Brown, Ryan Broyles, Quinton Patton
RB- Adrian Peterson, Reggie Bush, Daryl Richardson, Ronnie Hillman
TE- Jordan Cameron

With Spiller going #1, Adrian Peterson fell into Drew's lap. Yeah, I don't think he minded that at all. I love Drew's RB tandem of Peterson/Reggie Bush (who I damn wanted). In a PPR league, Reggie Bush is gonna have a monster season and you combine that with the best running back in the league, and it's probably the best RB combo of the league. Daryl Richardson doesn't excite me, but at least he's a starter and it's hard to get a backup that's a starting running back in this league. I'm gonna guess Ronnie Hillman won't factor into Drew's team at all. WR though I'd be a little worried if I was Drew. Relying on Danny Amendola AND Hakeem Nicks to stay healthy and carry your WR corps is a huge risk. Odds are one if not both will get hurt at sometime in the season. Cecil Shorts is an internet expert darling. As a WR #3, Shorts is fine, and could pile up some big garbage numbers as it's expected Jacksonville is gonna suck. Still not 100% comfortable with their QB situation, but Shorts was fine last year so I'm guessing he'll be fine. Drew's hoping Michael Floyd or Vincent Brown can solidify that WR #4 position. In a deep like that this, it's smart to take a couple of fliers on guys like Floyd, Brown and Ryan Broyles. Quinton Patton, honestly I have no idea who that is, lol. Drew took the leap of faith in Jordan Cameron, another guy everyone on the internet loves. With the Tight End depth weak as it is, it's worth taking a shot at someone who has the upside of a top 5 tight end. My personally, I don't like Drew's QB situation. I had Andrew Luck last season, and the games I used he was very underwhelming. I think I would've rather had a Romo or Stafford here. Sam Bradford won't be a bad bye week play, but Drew better bank on Luck building and improving on last year, because if not, combined with an injury prone receiving group, it might be hard to overcome even with AD/Bush.

Grade-B Love the Peterson/Bush combo a lot. If everyone stays healthy and Andrew Luck works out, this will be a championship caliber team. His receivers when healthy are among the best in the league. It's a huge if though. Drew didn't make the playoffs with Peterson last year, if he doesn't get the support from his receivers and QB, he might not again.

Matt (Dr. Light's Robots)
QB-Robert Griffin III, Michael Vick
WR-Roddy White, Jordy Nelson, Reggie Wayne, Golden Tate, Denarius Moore, Jeremy Kerley
RB-Jamaal Charles, Maurice Jones-Drew, Joique Bell, Isaiah Pead
TE- Jared Cook, Brandon Pettigrew

Overview-Matt made his drafting debut last night and I believe did a solid job in assembling a competitive team. Yahoo gave him the Best Draft of the Night award. I like a couple other teams a little bit than Matt's but no doubt it'll once again be a team to be reckon with. Matt went Jamaal Charles at #3, and this is an excellent pick with a high upside in Andy Reid's offense. MJD falls into that Chris Johnson/Steven Jackson/Frank Gore category for me. He's a year older and coming off major surgery. I'm not a fan of him, but where Matt got him and as a RB #2, it's more than fine. Wouldn't surprise me one bit if he did regain his form from a couple years ago. Matt's banking on that. His backup RB's leave a lot to be desired. Joique Bell is dependent on a Reggie Bush injury and Isaiah Pead has been a disappointment since last year and couldn't beat out Daryl Richardson for the starting gig. Hopefully by the time byes roll around, one of those two guys will be in line for some work. This is the year of the injury prone receivers. Roddy White and Jordy Nelson were both dealing with preseasons injuries but both should be ready for week 1. Combine that with Reggie Wayne (who's a PPR stud) and it's a solid receiving group IF (say with me) those injuries don't hamper Nelson and White. I love Golden Tate at the #4 position. Has the potential to be one of the better #4 starters in the league if he and Russell Wilson can fully click. Matt's backup WR's are pretty mediocre and have horrible QB situations. At the very least they are #1's receivers on their respective teams, which doesn't say much but hey..it's something. Matt's taking a flier on RGIII and it's a big risk. With Stafford and Romo still on the board I might have taking the safer pick, but what I do like is Matt backed up RGIII with Michael Vick. Vick has the capability of being a starter on any fantasy team, so if by any chance RGIII regresses, Matt can turn to Vick. Both provide injury risk though. Is this the year Jared Cook takes that big step everyone's been waiting for. With Sam Bradford in St. Louis, he could finally breakout. Have no problem with him as Matt's starter and as a round 9 pick. Brandon Pettigrew is not a bad backup either and if Cook disappoints yet again, can fill in as a decent starter.

Overall Grade-B I know it seems redundant, but a solid B is good in my opinion. When 5 of your top 6 players are injury risks, as talented as they are, it's a little scary. If Matt's team holds up, he'll be a contender.

MEEEEEE (Danny's Little Giants)
QB- Cam Newton, Carson Palmer
WR- Larry Fitzgerald, Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson, Kenny Britt, Mohamed Sanu, Kenny Stills
RB- LeSean McCoy, David Wilson, Ryan Mathews, Bernard Pierce
TE-Greg Olson, Julius Thomas

Overview- You can basically interchange picks 2-10 and it wouldn't be stretch for anyone in that group going between those picks. That's the problem this year..lack of value in the 1st round. The 4th pick is just as valuable as pick #10 because you can get the same type of player there. Spiller was on my draft board, but when he was taken at #1, I had my sights on McCoy. I left Arian Foster and Doug Martin on the board which was really tough for me to do. It was a gut call. I don't know why, but I'm scared to make Doug Martin my #1 back (especially at pick #4). I just couldn't pull the trigger and it might come back to haunt me. Foster was just the whole injury/usage that scared me away. I went pretty safe in McCoy who I think will have a monster rebound year this season. My year will basically bank on one player making or breaking my team....David Wilson. With the injury to Andre Brown, Wilson shot up the draft boards very quickly. I wanted Reggie Bush, but Drew snapped him up in the 2nd round. I thought where I got Wilson and looking at the rest of the depth at RB, I got potentially a hell of a steal. Wilson could be a huge difference maker, and it might be the round 3 Doug Martin or Trent Richardson pick of the season. Is it safer to go with Frank Gore? Probably, but sometimes you gotta take the gamble, and I feel Wilson has top 10 talent especially with no one else on the radar in New York. We'll see though. Ryan Mathews...HATE him as a starter..but as a bye week fill in with so little RB depth...I like it very much. Bernard Pierce really only becomes a factor if Ray Rice gets hurt. In the 2nd round after top tier receivers starting flying off the board, I felt obligated to take what I thought was the last of the top tier receivers available in Larry Fitzgerald. I like the pick considering I was still able to nab Wilson in round 3. I think Pierre Garcon is underrated and has the skills to be a damn good WR #2. He's not a sexy name, but (cliche) if he stays healthy he can put up some elite numbers and I like the price I paid (5th round) considering what was left in the receiver pool. DeSean Jackson..meh I've always thought he was overrated, but as a WR #3 I could do a hell of a lot worse. I'm not gonna lie, my WR 4 position is weeeaaaakkk. I DON'T LIKE Kenny Britt at all, and the only other receivers on my roster are Mohamed Sanu, and Kenny Stills, neither I expect to make a huge dent on my team. Bye weeks are gonna be brutal when I have to use 2 of these guys. Hopefully I can scour the waivers and find someone better. Again, I feel like I got awesome value in round 4 with Cam Newton. QB's fell in our draft, and I couldn't pass up Newton at the bottom of round 4. I've done mocks where Cam's gone in late round 2/early round 3 so I really love this pick. I also have no problem with Carson Palmer as my bye week fill in. He'll be throwing all day long in that offense. I even like where I got Greg Olson, who's probably the defacto a top 5 tight end. I got him in round 8. Julius Thomas was a flier pick as he's the starter in Denver.

Grade- B+ Biased some eh? Probably since it is my team. My running back tandem scares me a little, but I love the potential upside with that, combine that with Cam, Fitz and Garcon..I'm usually very hard on myself, but I must say I really like my team this season. Hopefully I have a bounce back year after a horrible 2012.

Dad (The Bad Robofies)
QB-Colin Kaepernick Alex Smith
WR-Andre Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Lance Moore, Rueben Randle, Aaron Dobson
RB-Ray Rice, Darren McFadden, Bryce Brown, Jonathan Dwyer, Jacquizz Rodgers
TE-Jimmy Graham, Martellus Bennett

Sigh...again I'm biased. He's my dad so a part of me pulls for him...but honestly....I really don't like this team too much. Dad picked 5 and took Ray Rice. No problem with that. He did what I did, went with the proven commodity. Just like me though, he'll hope that it wasn't a mistake bypassing Doug Martin and Arian Foster. Dad #2 running back I realllly don't like. Darren McFadden is injury prone and is now stuck with arguably the worst collective group of offensive talent in the league. I know the pickings were slim but I think at that point I would've rather solidified the receiver position and waited a couple rounds to take Ryan Mathews than take a huge gamble on McFadden. Dad's backups aren't really any better. Bryce Brown could be a factor if McCoy gets hurt and the same with Jacquizz Rodgers in Atlanta with Steven Jackson. Jonathan Dwyer though? He doesn't have a team and when every pick counts you can't use a round 12 pick on a guy with no team. Dad decided to take Jimmy Graham in the 2nd round and again I don't have a problem with this at all and Dad actually should have a distinct advantage at tight end with Graham being beyond the best at the position. Marty B will backup Graham, and that's good enough for a bye week fill in. When you draft a tight end like Graham early though, you're going to take a hit at the receiver and RB 2 position. Lucky this is a PPR league, so Andre Johnson as a WR #1 isn't that bad, though it'd be nice he got more TD's. Houston's just not built that way though and I don't see them changing their run-heavy approach. Anquan Boldin is NOT a WR #2 anymore. DeSean Jackson, T.Y. Hilton, Cecil Shorts, Miles Austin were all still there as decent low end 2's and instead Dad reached on Boldin who is a borderline #3 at best. In fact Lance Moore his #3 probably has a better ceiling than Boldin and quite possibly so do his #4 Reuben Randle. Dad is basically starting a low end #1 and 3 #3's/high end 4's. At QB, Dad's been pretty fixated on Colin Kaepernick. It's a matter of taste, and I'm not sure Kaepernick at the spot was a wise pick. How dad's team was constructed, he maybe should've shored up the receiver position and waited on QB another round or two, as RGIII, Russell Wilson, Andrew Luck, Matthew Stafford, and Tony Romo were all still there. The even bigger head scratcher? Alex Smith in the 8th round! Quite possibly the worst pick in the entire draft. If you wanted a backup QB, Big Ben, Michael Vick, Eli Manning were all still there. Alex Smith is undraftable in a 12 team league.

Grade-C, I like the first two picks a lot and the 3rd pick isn't that bad. On paper, it looks like the weakest team in the league. The Bad Robofies might be in for a rough 2013 season.

Kenny (Not Even Lying)
QB-Drew Brees, Matthew Stafford
WR-Demaryius Thomas, Antonio Brown, James Jones, Kenbrell Thompkins, Percy Harvin, Terrance Williams
RB-Doug Martin, Lamar Miller, Deangelo Williams, Knowshon Moreno, Vick Ballard
TE- Kyle Rudolph

Doug Martin slipped to Kenny at #6 and at that spot that's excellent value. Leland actually was debating on Martin at #1 before going Spiller. Martin is intriguing because as a rookie he had two of the biggest fantasy games of the season. Now with a full year under his belt, Kenny's hoping he can provide that #1 pick value and he got him at the 6 slot. I think Kenny didn't think that would happen at all. Kenny took a gamble on his 2nd RB in Lamar Miller. Miller was a preseason favorite of many experts but failed to impress in preseason games. He'll be in a time share for now with Daniel Thomas, but many believe the job will his sooner than later. As a 4th round pick and considering what was left at RB, this could end up being a value pick of the draft. I'm not sold on Deangelo Williams who is so bla, as a backup, I actually like Moreno and Ballard better and where they went in the draft was good value as well. Kenny used his 2nd round pick to get a stud receiver in Demaryius Thomas. He really wanted Brandon Marshall but he went one pick earlier. The only thing to worry about in Thomas is Peyton Manning spreading the ball, but Demaryius should get his and he's an elite WR to start your team off. The rest of Kenny's receiving core is solid if not spectacular. Antonio Brown is expected to take the next leap with the departure of Mike Wallace, and James Jones is in that Green Bay pass happy system. It'd be kind of hard to trust James Jones as a #3, because of Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb and quite possibly the reemergence of Jermichael Finley. There might be games Jones shines and games he disappears. Take the good with the bad I guess. I love Kenbrell Thompkins as Kenny's #4 option especially early in the season with no Gronk. Brady's gotta throw somewhere. Percy Harvin is also a smart stash pick as he could be ready to go around the time fantasy playoffs start. He should be able to use a DL spot to stash him on his roster. When and if Harvin comes back that receiver crop would be even more dangerous. Terrance Williams is a deep sleeper pick and there's a good chance he doesn't stick on this roster the whole season. QB's took a nose dive in our draft with not one quarterback taken in the first 29 picks. Kenny couldn't resist taking Drew Brees at #30 in the 3rd round and how can you blame him?? Guy is absolute money and in my opinion a better fantasy QB than Rodgers. Kenny then backed him with Matthew Stafford in round 8. I like this move a lot for two reasons. Kenny has trade bait and can either move Drew Brees if he wanted for a elite talent if Stafford regains his form from two seasons ago, or trade Matthew Stafford as well for a comparable talent. Worst case scenario Kenny is set at QB for the bye week. Smart move there. Best 1-2 QB combo by far. At Tight End, Kenny took Kyle Rudolph. He's a touchdown or bust guy, so although he'll be frustrating, tight ends are weak overall and it was a good pick.

Grade: B+, I'm giving it a B+ because I think the Stafford and Harvin luxury picks could work wonders for Kenny. Even without those two picks, it's a very solid team and Lamar Miller  can easily outperform his draft position. A running back with #1 potential at the 6 slot?! Outstanding. A little thin at WR #2/#3 position, but overall it'll be a very competitive team.

Mike (Passion ofthe Puente)
QB-Tony Romo, Eli Manning
WR-Brandon Marshall, Vincent Jackson, Wes Welker, Josh Gordon, Brandon Lafell, Andre Roberts
RB-Arian Foster, Ahmad Bradshaw, Mark Ingram, Pierre Thomas
TE-Tony Gonzalez, Fred Davis

It really pisses me off to admit this. Especially since it's Mike Posey and I hate conceding anything to him. But I honestly think this is on paper in contention for best draft. In fact I might even give it a slight edge to the other team I believe is in contention which we'll discuss later. Top to bottom a hell of a draft. Start at #7 with Arian Foster. Could quite possibly be the value pick of the draft. A month ago guy was at worst a lock top 3 pick. Yes there are injury and usage concerns but still, he's proven year after to year to have a knack for the endzone..and he goes at 7!?! Wow..I wish I had the 7th, I'd gladly taken him and then got a high 2nd round pick. RB #2 is a little questionable with Ahmad Bradshaw and his health. That's probably the only weak spot on the team. IF (today's "special word") Bradshaw stays healthy, he's hands down the best running back on the Colts and he'll get plenty of touches in that offense. Upside is limited, but Bradshaw can be more than serviceable, and that's all Mike needs with the talent he surrounded his team with. I actually like taking a flier on Mark Ingram where he got him, and Pierre Thomas as a last round pick...good value there. So what does Posey follow Arian Foster with? How about PPR MONSTER Brandon Marshall. The hip is fine, and the way Marshall dominates in PPR leagues, you're looking at quite possibly the best 1-2 punch in the league if Foster regains his fantasy king form. I love this receiver combination. You know why. It's a mix of everything. You got the guy that can do it all in Marshall, the big deep threat in V-Jax, and the possession receiver in Welker who on this team won't need to score TD's to be valuable. Also on top of that, Josh Gordon as a #4 has the potential to be amazing. His upside could be of a high end #2 and yes Mike will have to wait 2 weeks, but when he gets him, you might be looking at the best #1-4 in the league. Brandon Lafell and Andre Roberts are late round fliers that could be worth a spot start during bye weeks. Mike's patience for waiting for a QB paid off big time in the form of Tony Romo. Romo has his faults in real life, but Romo is money in fantasy. You can't go wrong with him at #79. Eli might not be every week starter material but as just a bye week starter? Definitely works. All this talent and he still managed to get arguably the #2 or #3 active (till Gronk gets back) tight end with Tony Gonzalez and then back him up with Fred Davis, who could probably be a starter on some teams. Damn you Posey....you....drafted.....very.....well (that was hard to type).

Grade-A+ Yep...I went there. This is very well assembled team. Posey drafted at the right place and time and things fell his way. To me I don't see how this team doesn't at the very least make the playoffs (barring injury). Move over Matthew Berry...ah fuck that..not just yet.

Mark (Shock The Monkey)
QB: Matt Ryan, Andy Dalton
WR: Victor Cruz, Dwayne Bowe, Mike Williams, Justin Blackmon, Brian Hartline, Greg Little
RB: Matt Forte, Steven Jackson, Roy Helu, Kendell Hunter
TE: Jason Witten, Zach Sudfeld

The first of the 2 new teams picked next. Mark had pick #8 and had the only other shocking 1st round pick in Matt Forte. Forte's looked really good in preseason and is expected to be a major player in new coach Marc Trestman's offense. Was it a little bit of a reach? Maybe so, but there's no way Forte would've been there at #17 so it wasn't entirely egregious. Also it's a PPR league, so Forte has the talent to play up to his 1st round selection. Mark went RB/RB and took Steven Jackson in the 2nd round. I've said earlier I'm not a big Jackson/MJD/Chris Johnson fan. I know it's a new team, but I dunno, Jackson in the 2nd round, not feeling it. It's a personal opinion thing, because it's around where S-Jax is slotted so it wasn't a reach pick or anything. I would've rather taken a David Wilson or Reggie Bush or  Brandon Marshall at WR. Still compared to other teams RB combos, it's a solid combo. When you wait till round 3 for a receiver, the pickings for an elite #1 tend to get slim. Mark took Victor Cruz, and my only concern is injury problems. Cruz was hurt in the preseason but insists he'll be ready to go. Guy can be an absolute stud when in full force, but I know from last year, he can go on droughts. Dwayne Bowe is another one of those receivers with talent but who's really suffered due to terrible QB play. I'm not sure how much better Alex Smith is, but I was scared of Bowe because of the QB situation before, and Alex Smith doesn't sway my opinion much. People look at Mike Williams and think bla but I think that's unfair. The guy outpeformed Hakeem Nicks last year and you get him at a fraction of the price. I like him as a #3. Perfect fit. If you're going to go with suspended guy you have to go with the guy with more upside and less suspended weeks. Justin Blackmon (4 week suspension) over Josh Gordon (2 week suspension) might have been a mistake. Blackmon's not bad, but Gordon has the better ceiling and will be available to use two weeks before Blackmon. Brian Hartline and Greg Little are spot starters who depending on the matchups aren't every week starters but can contribute if the matchup is good. Can't go wrong with Matt Ryan has your QB, Ryan should have yet another excellent season and being able to still pick up Andy Dalton as a backup in the 14th round is great value. Jason Witten is as realiable as one can get at the tight end position. He'll rack up the yards and catches as Romo's safety valve. I don't know the long term value of Zach Sudfeld. Right now, he'll have that value because of Gronk's injury, but where will he fit when Gronk comes back. Can he be the new Aaron Hernandez. Hopefully Mark will only have to worry about using him for one bye week.

Grade-B- I like the outside the box Forte pick at #8. I think that'll work out. Ryan's a great QB, and most weeks Mark will have an advantage at Tight End. I'm not too crazy about the receivers and less crazy about Steven Jackson at #17. All in all a good draft. 

Eugene (Sprigville_Warrior)
QB-Russell Wilson, Matt Schaub
WR-Julio Jones, Eric Decker, Tavon Austin, Alshon Jeffrey, Cordarrelle Patterson, Julian Edelman
RB-Trent Richardson, DeMarco Murray, Giovani Bernard, Shane Vereen
TE-Antonio Gates, Tyler Eifert

Eugene was the 2nd team to pick in the back to back and started #9 with Trent Richardson. Great pick here at #9 as Richardson has the skills to outperform his draft spot. After that though, he waited on took DeMarco Murray as his 2nd RB. Being a Cowboys fan, I've seen a lot of Murray, he's definitely got the talent to be a stud. Two things though, he's injury prone and as much as the Cowboys promise to balance their offense out, they can't help but be a pass first team. I might have taken a shot at Eddie Lacy, Gore, or Sproles here over Murray. Maybe the Cowboys actually will make more of an effort to run the ball more. We'll see. One of the biggest surprises was Geo Bernard going in the 4th round. If he can wrestle away the starting job from Benjarvus Green-Ellis this could be a nice pick. He'll still be involved, but with Lamar Miller still on the board, I think he would've been safer. It is nice to have back like Bernard though, just in case Murray falls through. Vereen caught some traction early in preseason but that settle down, but still a solid pick where he was chosen. At receiver, Eugene took Julio Jones with his 2nd round pick. I'm a big fan of Julio Jones and was hoping somehow he would slip to me in the 2nd round (though I basically knew he wouldn't as Kenny wasn't going to let him past him). Always nice to get one of those elite options at receiver. After that though, a ton of question marks at receiver. Eric Decker is very risky as a #2 receiver. With so many mouths to feed, there might be some games Decker goes silent, or some where he explodes for over 100 and a couple TD's. As long as your in a Peyton Manning offense though, the upside is always there. Tavon Austin, the rookie wide receiver, will be Eugene's #3. It's hard to make an unproven rookie a vital part of your squad, but the talent is there and so is the upside. Considering what gets left at the WR #4 position, Alshon Jeffrey isn't a bad play there. I love the flier on Minnesota rookie Cordarrelle Patterson. These kind of lottery tickets can pay off big time. No risk there. Edelman as a last pick, meh, but it's not a roster breaking move or anything. Eugene waited till round 6 to nab a QB, and there's was plenty of quality QB's still left. Russell Wilson here is more than fine, and though it he lost Percy Harvin, he didn't have him last year and had a great season so it shouldn't affect as much as people think. Schaub is basically nothing but a bye week fill in, so as long as that's all he'll have to do, he's serviceable. I dealt with Antonio Gates all season last year and the dude just doesn't have it anymore. I like the idea of taking a 2nd Tight End right away in case Gates regresses even more. Eifert is a promising rookie but is he an every week fantasy starter? We might find out sooner than later.

Grade: C+  Love the Richardson-Julio Combo, and Russell Wilson should be a top 10 QB. For my Cowboys sake, I hope Demarco Murray proves me wrong and stays healthy and is bad ass..I can't be confident about that though. If some of the gambles pan out(Bernard, Tavon Austin, Eifert) it could be an under the radar team.

Ryan (Hoosier Daddy)
QB-Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger
WR-Marques Colston, Torrey Smith, Stevie Johnson, Sidney Rice, Darrius Heyward-Bey
RB-Marshawn Lynch, Steven Ridley, Eddie Lacy, Ben Tate, Chris Ivory, Michael Bush
TE-Heath Miller
Ryan picked at #10 and Marshawn Lynch was there and that's terrific value at #10. Lynch sometimes goes as high as #2 but usually falls in the #5-8 range, so to get him at #10 is definitely great for Ryan. Ryan than took Steven Ridley at #15. If Ridley lives up to the potential, this could be a dangerous 1-2 running back combo. Ryan went RB happy and instead of solidifying another position he took yet another RB in Eddie Lacy. The good thing is if Lacy pans out he's one got one of the better back up running backs in the league. It could also potentially turn into trade bait later in the season. Ben Tate as a 4th running back is definitely nice, especially if Foster for some reason can't go the whole season. Chris Ivory is meh, but again he's just RB Depth as is Michael Bush. Ryan waited until round 4 to pick a position other than running back. He went Marques Colston. Colston is a low end #1, and he's very consistent and dependable. Ryan took Torrey Smith as his 2nd receiver and he's basically a boom or bust receiver. If he doesn't catch long balls, he won't be a factor. He only had 49 catches last season, so unless he becomes a better well rounded receiver, there will be games he disappears in. Stevie Johnson is a decent #3 but that Buffalo QB situation hurts him greatly. I don't know if I'd want to trust him as my #3. Sidney Rice as the #4 option is bla, but could provide some decent return. Heyward-Bey is bench fodder and might be worth a spot start if the matchup is enticing during bye weeks. Ryan went Tom Brady as his QB, and there's a little risk there, with so many different weapons than last season.  I still think Brady will put up nice numbers and at #63 it actually became a nice value pick. Big Ben is Ryan's Backup and that's fine for a bye week fill in. Ryan totally whiffed on tight end. Heath Miller is hurt and isn't coming back anytime soon. He didn't pick a backup tight end, with so many tight ends off the board, Ryan's tight end is gonna be really crappy. 

Grade: B, The Marshawn/Ridley Combo should carry this team, and Brady is great especially where Ryan got him. The receivers are an average group, not great but exactly bad either. Tight End though hurts Ryan big time. There's really nothing out there in free agents.

Mayra (Bigger Balls)

QB-Aaron Rodgers, Josh Freeman
WR-Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant, Greg Jennings, Chris Givens, Malcolm Floyd, Santana Moss
RB-Darren Sproles, Rashard Mendenhall, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Fred Jackson
TE-Vernon Davis, Owen Daniels

Yeah, picking #11 isn't bad at all. Not at all. My 2nd favorite team in the league. I thought Mayra did an excellent job drafting at the 11 spot. How the HELL do you get Calvin Johnson and Dez Bryant TOGETHER?! Are you KIDDING ME?!? This is a PPR league, these two on the same team, good lord it's unfair. You could start a practice squad player at the #3 WR and still dominate. She loaded up some more and Greg Jennings and Chris Givens. Many are very high on Givens, him and Greg Jennings with Dez and Calvin provide an excellent group of wide receivers. Malcolm Floyd and Santana Moss are just veteran receiver fill ins who might play on a bye week. I mean how can you get better than Calvin and Dez? How about adding AARON RODGERS to the mix! Rodgers slid all the way to 35 (amazing value here) and a trio of Calvin,  Dez, and Rodgers is unbelievably intimidating. Josh Freeman is Mayra's backup but hopefully for Mayra he'll only be needed for one week.  So you would think well no way Mayra got any kind of decent running back because she waited until the 4th round to finally get a back. NOPE..wrong. Darren Sproles fell into her lap. Sproles is known as the running back where PPR format spikes his value considerably. In a PPR he's a 2nd-early 3rd round talent, but to get him in round 4?! More than fine as an RB #1 on a team that has Dez ,Calvin, and Rodgers. Admittedly the one thing I don't like and the only reason I like Mike's team more, is Mendenhall as Mayra's #2. Just not a fan of his at all and it's the one glaring weakness on this team. Her backups aren't exactly great either. Better hope Gio Bernard doesn't take over Green-Ellis' role by the time bye weeks roll around because it'll turn BJGE into a shaky spot start at best. Spiller should dominate the touches in Buffalo, so Fred Jackson is teetering on fantasy irrelevancy barring a Spiller injury. If Vernon Davis finally gets it all together he could definitely be a top 3 Tight End and yet another dangerous weapon on Mayra's Squad. If not, Owen Daniels is more consistent (Boring, but consistent) and he can take over the starter duties if Vernon Davis struggles.

Grade: A, solid A draft which is even more impressive considering her draft position. On paper, has to be one of the favorites to win it all.

Albert (Channel 4 News Team)
QB: Peyton Manning, Joe Flacco
WR: A.J. Green, Steve Smith, Mike Wallace, Emmanuel Sanders, Kendall Wright, Jacoby Jones
RB: Alfred Morris, Frank Gore, Le'Veon Bell, LaMichael James
TE: Jermichael Finley, Jermaine Gresham 

Albert was the final team drafting in the 1st round and he took A.J. Green at #12. I thought Albert might be the team to pull the dual stud receiver combo, but instead he chose to go running back at #13. The rest of Albert's receiving core is a little underwhelming. Steve Smith is a year older and I don't know if he's really a WR #2. As a #3 he's fine, but a #2 is really stretching it. Mike Wallace is probably a high end #3 as well, so that's fine where he was drafted. Emmanuel Sanders as the #4 receiving isn't too bad considering he's now the #2 in Pittsburgh. Kendall Wright could provide some decent value, but Jacoby Jones? Ugh..he'll be off Albert's team in no time. Albert took Alfred Morris at #13. This is fine pick at #13, though I have my reservations about Morris, I'm fine with him as a RB #1. I really like Frank Gore and where he went (#36). Gore can still play and put up numbers and with Crabtree out and no real receiving threats outside of  Vernon Davis, Gore will still be depended on and he makes for an excellent RB #2. I also like the stashing of rookie Le'Veon Bell. He looks like he'll only miss a couple weeks and he'll be an excellent bye week fill in. LaMichael James though? He's not even Gore's backup (Kendall Hunter is) and he's hurt. For the first time in a long time, Tom Brady is NOT Albert's QB...it's ok though, he only replaced him with Peyton Manning. Manning should put up typical Peyton Manning numbers and be an elite QB in the fantasy world. Joe Flacco as the backup though?? Hope Peyton Manning doesn't get hurt. Flacco won't cut it. This is supposed to be "the year' Jermichael Finley lives up to his lofty expectations. Everything is there, the offense, the opportunity, he's just failed to live up to the hype in the past. With the tight end situation so murky, it's worth the risk to see if Finley can finally put it all together. Gresham though might end up losing some touches to rookie Tyler Eifert, so he might not be that great of backup plan.

Grade: B, Running Back situation is very solid, Receivers could be better (outside A.J.Green of course) and of course the QB situation is pretty damn good. Definitely a contending team as always as it's Albert and he always finds a way to win.  

And that's the draft. The draft is in the books but now it's time to see what happens ON THE FIELD!! I'll probably post up Matchups and Predictions tomorrow! 
 
 
  
 





Tuesday, August 27, 2013

A Look At How the 1st Round has Panned Out

1st Round Picks...the pick that's supposed to be the "main cog" of your fantasy football team. The "franchise player" so to speak. Whiff on this pick and you'll find yourself at a huge disadvantage from the get go. Or is it? Can you whiff on a first round pick and still draft well enough with the rest of the draft to salvage your team? We'll look at the first 3 year's of 1st round picks and see how exactly important the first round has been in our league.

Pick #1
2010- Chris Johnson
2011- Adrian Peterson
2012-Aaron Rodgers

Overview- Having the #1 overall pick is big time pressure as the expectations are raised since you have the pick of the "cream of the crop". In our first year, Drew took Chris Johnson at #1 and rode him to the finals. Outside of his QB, he was the highest scorer on his team so this was definitely a home run pick and one of the biggest reasons Drew made the Championship game. The next season Matt took Adrian Peterson. Unfortunately, Peterson got hurt and though he finished as a top 10 running back (8) 7 running backs ended up having a greater impact that season and Matt finished with a 5-8 record en route to a 9th place finish overall. Last season Mike "shocked" the league and took Aaron Rodgers #1 overall. Here's where you can look at it a couple ways. Was Rodgers an insane reach? No, not at all. In fact, last year was the "Year of the QB" so to speak and almost half the first round were QB's. Rodgers finished with the 2nd most fantasy points in the league and with a #3 overall ranking. However, it's all about relative value. There were 11 QB's that finished in the top 16 overall last year. Maybe going with a RB there would've been much more value, then getting a position in really deep position. Mike did make the playoffs, however maybe he could've made it a little farther had he gone with another position at the #1 overall pick.

Hits/Misses Ratio- 2/1- I'll only include Peterson as a miss because of the injury.

Pick #2
2010-Adrian Peterson
2011-Chris Johnson
2012-Ray Rice

Overview: Kenny had #2 in 2010 and took Adrian Peterson. He would trade him to me for Arian Foster and Greg Jennings, and on my team helped me make the playoffs and win 3rd place. In his first ever draft Dad took Chris Johnson (coming off a holdout) over guys like Ray Rice, Arian Foster, LeSean McCoy. Johnson was HORRIBLE compared to his draft position. 16 running backs finished ahead of him and he finished with a 43rd ranking overall. How Dad made the playoffs whiffing that badly was surprising indeed. Last season Leland took Ray Rice, but shipped him to me. He was slightly disappointing compared to his draft position. I ended up trading him to Kenny. He still finished top 6 at the position, so I wouldn't call a complete bust, but the team that traded him won the title, while me and Kenny both finished out of the playoffs with him in our roster.

Hits/Misses Ratio 2/1- Rice wasn't horrible enough to consider a bust the 2 though he did underachieve for his standards. Chris Johnson though..ugh yeah not worthy of a 1st round pick much less #2 overall.

Pick #3
2010-Maurice Jones Drew
2011-Jamaal Charles
2012-Arian Foster

Overview- MJD was Matt's inaugural pick at #3 in 2010. He led all of Matt's non QB Skill Players in points scored and helped Matt to a Playoff Berth. Zach took Jamaal Charles at #3 and an early season injury derailed Zach's season from the get go. He never recovered. Matt once again picked #3 and got Arian Foster who helped him to a 1st place regular season finish and another playoff berth.

Hits/Misses Ratio 2/1- To me a player is successful if he's a big time contributor to his team. I can't remember what MJD finished overall in 2010, but he was Matt's best offensive player that season outside of his QB's. Jamaal Charles is proof that a high pick not panning out due to injury/underperformance can kill your season dead. Zach was never a real threat after losing Charles. Foster was another hit at 3 for Matt, and maybe had Matt made a trade with his overabundance of RB"s he might have won his 1st playoff game with the team he had.

Pick #4
2010-Ray Rice
2011-Ray Rice
2012-LeSean McCoy

Overview-Here's something crazy, I ended up with all 3 of these guys the year they were drafted at the end of the day. Albert took Rice at 4 and would trade him to me late in the season. I got stuck with a three headed Monster of Rice/Peterson/McFadden (believe it or not scored more points than Ray Rice that year) which was great up until you bench the wrong guy. Albert would solidify the rest of his team with that trade and end up winning the title. Again Rice went #4 to Leland and I traded for him yet again. Rice was the #1 ranked running back in 2011 by a comfortable margin and he helped me make the finals in 2011. Kenny took Shady after his 20 TD season and unfortunately it was a disappointing season for him. In a desperation move, he traded McCoy to me for Ray Rice and McCoy ended up sitting out the end of the season due to a concussion. McCoy finished as the 21st ranked Running Back and 65th overall ranked player. Not exactly what you expect from the #4 pick overall.

Hits/Misses Ratio 2/1-Another example of a high pick not panning out and thus dooming a season as Kenny would miss the playoffs last season.

Pick #5
2010-Michael Turner
2011-Arian Foster
2012-Drew Brees

Overview-Ryan took "The Burner" #5 overall in 2010 and though he finished last you can't blame Turner who was best offensive player outside of Peyton Manning. Arian Foster fell to Albert at the 5 spot in 2011 due to injury concerns (sound familiar??) and finsihed as the 4th best running back en route to Albert winning back to back titles. In her first draft, Mayra took Drew Brees, who scored one less than point than Aaron Rodgers, but with the depth of QB, might have been a questionable pick in the long run. She failed to make the playoffs.

Hits/Misses Ratio 3/0- For the first time, the #5 pick is the first pick that didn't fail to deliver, though it doesn't guarantee overall team success at all. Mayra and Ryan both finished dead last in their respective seasons while Albert won it all. Proof that more than a successful 1st round is needed to have a shot at success.

Pick #6
2010-Frank Gore
2011-Michael Turner
2012-Darren McFadden

Overview-The "Pick of Death" and it's obvious why. Ryan K. picked Frank Gore who wasn't great at all no playoffs. Michael Turner seemed like a reach at #6, but looking back he was actually pretty good, finishing #6 at the position. Darren McFadden though...wow one of the worst picks in 1st round history. Even when he wasn't missing games, he just sucked period. Even a 3rd round Adrian Peterson home run couldn't help Drew salvage his wasted #1 pick.

Hits/Misses  Ratio 1/2- So far the worst slot of the 1st round. Kenny's looking to conquer the curse of #6 pick this year. History is not on his side.

Pick #7
2010-Andre Johnson
2011-Rashard Mendenhall
2012-Tom Brady

Overview-Mike took Andre Johnson, but I ended up getting him via trade. He was my best receiver and helped me to a 3rd place finish so I'd call that a win. Ryan auto-drafted Mendenhall and it wasn't good. He finished as the 19th best running back. Ryan still made the playoffs and finished 3rd despite that and the Peyton Manning draft pick (thanks to a key waiver wire Cam Newton Pickup). Albert took the 3rd QB of the 1st round in Tom Brady. It's Albert's go to QB, and though again like Mayra and Mike he might have waited and taken a better RB (lack of a 2nd RB after McGahee got hurt, basically cost him a three-peat) you can't argue with the results. Brady finished as the 4th best scorer in the league. 2nd place isn't too shabby either.

Hits/Misses Ratio 2/1- Luckily for Ryan the Mendenhall pick didn't destroy him, but it was definitely as whiff of epic proportions.

Pick #8
2010-Ryan Mathews
2011-Andre Johnson
2012-Calvin Johnson

Overview-Good lord in an 8 team league and to pick Ryan Mathews 8th overall, it has to be arguably the WORST first round pick made in the history of the league. He didn't even last on my roster and wasn't even on ANYONE'S roster and it was an 8 TEAM LEAGUE!!! Just brutal. Thanks to some shrewd trading and not only survived that debacle (and my 2nd round pick) but placed 3rd. I've hated that guy ever since and won't touch him no matter how much he falls. Andre Johnson in 2011....66th ranked WR that year. Preston Parker (WHO) was ranked higher. A combination of injuries and underachieving will do that to you. No playoffs for Cindy. And then...there's Calvin Johnson. Don't get me wrong he was a beast (I mean he broke Jerry Rice's season receiving yards record) but when you draft a receiver in the 1st round because he's supposed to be by far and away the best receiver out there and he only scores 6 more points than Brandon Marshall who was picked in like round 3, it's kind of disappointing. Lack of TD's (only 5) severely hurt Megatron's value. I didn't make the playoffs of course.

Hits/Misses Ratio 1/2- I want to but won't put Calvin as a miss. He still was #1 in scoring for receivers. The other two though?? Worst picks of the 1st round for their year and candidates for worst pick in 1st round history (with 2012 McFadden).

Pick #9
2011-Aaron Rodgers
2012-Cam Newton

Overview-2010 there were only 8 teams. We expanded to 10 in 2011. Kenny took Aaron Rodgers #9 overall in 2011 and yes it was steal there. Finished with the most points overall. He helped Kenny to his first playoff birth. Dad kind of shocked the world by taking Cam Newton #9 last season. I'd say it worked out. Despite a lack of consistent running back play, Newton helped lead Dad to a 2nd straight playoff birth and finished 5th overall in scoring.

Hits/Misses Ratio 2/0- Both #9 picks were QB's and for elite QB's, it's probably where it's ok to start thinking about taking one.

Pick #10
2011-LeSean McCoy
2012-Chris Johnson

Overview-How had at the #1 and #2 ranked running backs in 2011 and didn't win it all astounds me to this day. McCoy was the steal of the 1st round as I got him with the last pick of the 1st. He finished #2 and helped me to a 2nd place finish. It's crazy to call Chris Johnson a miss yet again and he's STILL a projected 2nd round pick this year. Again just like the Mendenhall pick, Ryan survived and finished 3rd overall. Chris Johnson bounced around a couple teams (I even had him for a little while).

Hits/Misses Ratio 1/1

So after all this typing, was does this tell you about the 1st round? Absolutely nothing really, ha. Don't get me wrong, the 1st round is important, but there are various examples of teams doing well in the 1st and having horrible seasons, or doing horrible in the 1st round and having great seasons, and vice versa. The 1st round is important, but it's not a guarantee to make or break your fantasy football season.



Friday, August 23, 2013

Draft Profile Capsules: Picks 9-12

Picks 9-12 now.

#9 Eugene (Sprigville_Warrior)
No Previous Draft History

The new guys pick back to back in our draft would should be pretty interesting. We'll see what Eugene does with a late 1st round pick.

#10 Ryan (Hoosier Daddy)
Previous Draft Spots- 5 in 2010
                                    7 in 2011
                                   10 in 2012

# of Drafted Players who Stayed on Ryan's Team
5 in 2010 (out of 15)
6 in 2011 (out of 15)
5 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st Round Picks
2010-Michael Turner
2011-Rashard Mendenhall
2012-Chris Johnson

Playoff Appearances-2 (3rd place finish in 2011, 3rd place finish in 2012)

It's kinda crazy that Ryan basically whiffed on his first 5 picks (actually 8 of his first 10) and STILL finished 3rd. He did strike Gold with Peyton Manning in the 7th round and Witten in the 11th, but man it was draft full of disappointments. He did make a trade for Reggie Wayne, and picked Denario Alexander off waivers, but this team was mainly fueled by Peyton Manning. Ryan picks 10 again and his 1st rounds have been very sketchy. He'll need to hit a home run with his 1st round to finally get over that 3rd place hump.

#11 Mayra (Bigger Balls)
Previous Draft Spots- 5 in 2012

# of Drafted Players who Stayed with team
10 in 2012 (out of 15)

# of Playoff Appearances-0

Mayra actually had a very stable team keeping 10 out of 15 original draft picks and only making one trade, trading Ryan for Michael Turner.  She excellent value in Frank Gore in the 5th round, but Ryan Mathews in the 2nd was  HUGE disappointment. In her sophomore season, she drafted at the tail end this time so we'll see how she adjusts in this situation.

#12 Albert (Channel 4 News Team)
Previous Draft Spots- 4 in 2010
                                    5 in 2011
                                    7 in 2012
# of Drafted Players who Stayed on Albert's Team
3 in 2010 (out of 15)
8 in 2011 (out of 15)
5 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st round picks
2010-Ray Rice
2011-Arian Foster
2012-Tom Brady

# of Playoff Appearances-3 (2010, 2011 Wane McGarity Bowl Champion, 2012 runner up)

If there's anyone I'm scared of drafting at this position it's Albert. It WILL WORK for him. Last year I showed how stupid I was by calling Albert's draft the worst of the league. DEAD WRONG. He hit big time on 6 of the first 7. If not for injuries to Bowe and McGahee, Albert might have 3-peated. He ended up having to spot start the RB2 towards the end, but having a team of Brady, Graham, Marshall, Demaryius, and Trent Richardson was lethal. I have no doubt, he'll be successful at this spot.

We are 9 days away from the draft!!! Can't believe it's almost here! 

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Draft Profile Capsules Picks 5-8

Time to look at the teams picking 5-8

#5 Dad (The Bad Robofies)
Previous Draft Sports- 2 In 2011
                                     9 In 2012
# of Drafted Players who stayed on Dad's Team
7 in 2011 (out of 15)
7 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st round Picks
2011-Chris Johnson
2012-Cam Newton

Playoff Appearances-2

Dad now has two seasons of Fantasy Football under his belt, and has experienced both picking low and high. This year, he's in the middle at #5. Dad shocked everyone by taking Cam Newton in Round 1 last year, but in the middle of the draft this year, I expect a conservative safe approach. Dad's weakness is probably his late round drafting. He kept his first 6 picks of the draft, but rounds 7-15, only Matt Schaub was there at the end. You never know what you're gonna get with Dad, and his drafting affects me and Kenny who he is sandwiched in between.

#6 Kenny (Not Even Lying)
Previous Draft Spots- 2 in 2010
                                    9 in 2011
                                    4 in 2012

# of Drafted Players who stayed on Kenny's Team

4 in 2010 (out of 15)
6 in 2011 (out of 15)
3 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st Round Picks
2010-Adrian Peterson
2011-Aaron Rodgers
2012-LeSean McCoy

# of Playoff Appearances-1

Kenny's like me, a wheeler and a dealer. Kenny overturned his team a lot last season as evidenced by only keeping 3 of original draft picks on his roster (Romo, Jamaal Charles, Miles Austin). Kenny is smack dab in the middle of the draft this year, and the real key for him is what Dad's gonna do at #5. Dad's unpredictability makes it hard to game plan as he could go so many different ways at that position. Kenny's got an eye for talent too, so he's a dangerous late round drafter (though he didn't keep him, he did draft Randall Cobb in the 13th round. It never really matters where Kenny picks, as he'll find a way to draft a solid team. Keeping it intact though, is another question entirely.

#7 Mike (Passion ofthe Puente)
Previous Draft Spots-7 in 2010
                                   6 in 2011
                                   1 in 2012

# of  Drafted Players who stayed on Mike's Team
5 in 2010 (out of 15)
4 in 2011 (out of 15)
3 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st Round picks
2010-Andre Johnson
2011-Michael Turner
2012-Aaron Rodgers

# of Playoff Appearances-1

How Mike made the playoffs with his team is beyond me. First all of all, he just flat out dropped Vincent Jackson after 1 game. V-Jax ended up with a terrific season that Dad enjoyed off waivers. He took Aaron Rodgers at #1, which was shocking, but not absurd. Unfortunately though Rodgers was great, but wasn't #1 pick great. He lost his 2nd pick (MJD) to a season ending injury and made a series of trades with the rest of his roster. The one bright spot though was Dez Bryant, a STEAL, at round 4. Mike's in the middle of this year's draft, right around where he drafted the previous two seasons before last year.

#8 Mark (Shock The Monkey)
No Previous Draft History

Mark is one of the two new guys in our draft. Should be interesting to see how he approaches his first draft with us. I have no idea what to expect here.






Friday, August 2, 2013

Draft Profile Capsules Picks 1-4

Time for the annual draft capsule posts. We'll start with picks 1-4 today.

#1 Leland (TEBOW4PRESIDENT)
Previous Draft Spots-4 in 2011
                                   2 in 2012

# of Drafted Players who stayed on Leland's Team
6 in 2011 (out of 15)
5 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st Round Picks
2011-Ray Rice
2012-Ray Rice

# of Playoff Appearances-2 (2012 League Champion)

Well, you can't have a better start as the defending league champion than owning the #1 pick. I'm going to go out on a limb and guess the Ray Rice streak will end this year. Both times Leland has drafted Ray Rice and both times he's traded him to me. Leland is very active as you can tell by the number of players he kept the last couple of years. Last year's CJ Spiller/Doug Martin will be impossible to duplicate since both are projected 1st rounders this year. With all players at his choosing, it will be very interesting to see where Leland goes at pick #1.

#2 Drew (I'm a Paul Heyman Guy)
Previous Draft Spots- 1 in 2010
                                    6 in 2012

# of Drafted Players who Stayed on Drew's Team
 6 in 2010 (out of 15)
 8 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st round Picks
2010-Chris Johnson
2012-Darren McFadden

# of Playoff Appearances-1(2nd Place in 2010)

Talk about missing big time and striking gold in the same draft. Last year at #6 Drew picked Darren McFadden and it was a horrible pick to say the least. He did though get Adrian Peterson in Round 3 which was by far one of the biggest steals of last season. Drew's a guy who doesn't trade often and he kept around half his team that he drafted. He's usually a good talent evaluator and also scours the waivers for key pickups (like Cecil Shorts) He'll draft #2 this time around and the last time he drafted top 3, he made it to the finals.

#3 Matt (Dr. Light's Robots)
Previous Draft Spots-3 in 2010
                                   1 in 2011
                                   3 in 2012

# of Drafted Players who stayed on Matt's Team
6 in 2010 (out of 15)
11 in 2011 (out of 15)



8 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st Round Picks
2010-Maurice Jones Drew
2011-Adrian Peterson
2012-Arian Foster

# of Playoff Appearances-2

For the 4th year in a row, Matt secures a top 3 pick. Even though he's been in the league every year, Matt's still a wild card because we haven't seen him draft. This should be the 1st year Matt picks his own team, and with a top 3 pick, he'll have a great shot and getting a franchise player. Matt also tends to keep the players he has from the beginning of the season. In fact, he would've kept 10 players out of 15 had Michael Vick and Percy Harvin not gotten hurt.

#4 ME (Danny's Little Giants)
 Previous Draft Spots- 8 in 2010
                                  10 in 2011
                                    8 in 2012
# of Drafted Players who stayed on my team

4 in 2010 (out of 15)
3 in 2011 (out of 15)
3 in 2012 (out of 15)

Previous 1st Round Picks
2010-Ryan Mathews
2011-LeSean McCoy
2012-Calvin Johnson

Playoff Appearances-2 (3rd place finish in 2010, 2nd place finish in 2011)

For the first time in our league I'm not picking in the bottom (though I damn missed the top 3 but one spot). Last year was miserable, due to injuries and probably my weak spot of player turnover. I can never be satisified with my team. Calvin Johnson, Matt Forte, and Antonio Gates were the only players I kept all season. I've never kept more than 4 so my teams are never stable and consistent. Will I work on this this year? We'll see. I'm a pretty good late round drafter (look at rounds #6-12, Matt Ryan, Garcon, Reggie Wayne, Stevan Ridley, RGIII, and Spiller in round 12) but I usually sell on the hot player before they make any real impact on my team. It's be interesting to see how I can build my team from the beginning of the draft instead of the end.