Wednesday, October 4, 2017

Week 5 Matchups and Predictions

This week's big game is the battle of the undefeateds. There are only two teams left that haven't lost and those two teams battle it out this week and only one will remain undefeated. Will it be Drew or Ryan? Here's this weeks matchups and predictions.

No Soup For You (2-2) vs
Catch My Javelin! (1-3)

All Time Record: I lead series 6-5-1

Key Players

No Soup For You: A.J. Green (Bills) Keenan Allen (Giants) Lamar Miller (Chiefs)

Catch My Javelin!: Deshaun Watson (Chiefs) Alshon Jeffrey (Cardinals) Odell Beckham Jr. (Chargers) Doug Baldwin (Rams) Kareem Hunt (Texans) Jordan Howard (Vikings)

Wild Cards

No Soup For You: Michael Thomas and Matt Ryan on Byes. Tough Matchup for Keenan Allen. Will Joe Mixon bounce back?

Catch My Javelin!: Tougher matchup for DeShaun Watson. Tough Matchups for Alshon Jeffrey and Jordan Howard. Doug Martin or Tarik Cohen? Austin Seferian-Jenkins as my tight end.

Predictions
Yahoo Says: I win
I Say: I win. Yep..this is one of those rare times that I'm actually picking myself to win and really, I should win. With Leland being without Michael Thomas and having to rely on guys like Theo Riddick, Kenny Golladay and Joe Mixon, my team SHOULD have the talent enough to win this week. I'm still worried about my bad matchups that could hold Alshon Jeffrey and Jordan Howard to low points, also I highly doubt Deshaun Watson blows up for 38 points this week, so what is his realistic average? Also I'm killing myself between deciding if I want to give the start to Doug Martin or play it  conservative with Tarik Cohen. This is a must win for me and I'm hoping a win here, put's my back on track in regards to playoff talk.

Hoosier Daddy (4-0) vs
BABY CARROTS (4-0)

All Time Record: Drew leads series 7-3

Key Players

Hoosier Daddy: Ezekiel Elliott (Packers) Leonard Fournette (Steelers) Michael Crabtree (Ravens)

BABY CARROTS: Cam Newton (Lions) Todd Gurley (Seahawks)

Wild Cards

Hoosier Daddy: Who's Ryan's QB? Crabtree production without Carr. WR Production

BABY CARROTS: Who's Drew's RB2? Cam's bounce back for real? Who else is Drew using for flex?

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Ryan wins? (I think...neither guy has a full lineup set as of today, but I believe Ryan will get the edge)
I Say: Ryan wins. Boy..for being a combined 8-0, these two guys sure don't have a lot of star players between them. Of course Drew lost Dalvin Cook and has Emmanuel Sanders on bye so that's a reason why. I think Ryan's team is the more talented of the two, especially with Drew's losses this week. We still don't even know who he plans on playing at his RB2 and flex position. Ryan should be able to get the win and stay undefeated.

Light's Broken Bots (2-2) vs
Channel 4 News Team (1-3)

All Time Record: Matt leads series 6-5-1

Key Players

Light's Broken Bots: Tom Brady (Bucs) Dez Bryant (Packers) Jordy Nelson (Cowboys) Martavis Bryant (Jaguars)

Channel 4 News Team: Eli Manning (Chargers) Amari Cooper (Ravens) Golden Tate (Panthers) Stefon Diggs (Bears) Carlos Hyde (Colts) LeSean McCoy (Bengals)

Wild Cards

Light's Broken Bots: Demaryius Thomas and Tevin Coleman on bye. Tough matchup for Martavis Bryant. How will Wayne Gallman do?

Channel 4 News Team: Cooper without Carr. Will Ty Montgomery play?

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Matt wins
I Say: Matt wins. Although on it's face Albert has the deeper team seems like, Matt has more players that could go off. I think Brady, Jordy, and Dez all have huge games, while I could see Amari once again disappointing and LeSean McCoy not finding the endzone again. It should be close, but I'm giving the slight edge to Matt here.

Rocket Man (2-2) vs
SCLSU MudDogs (1-3)

All Time Record: Eugene leads series 4-2

Key Players

Rocket Man: Matthew Stafford (Panthers) Kelvin Benjamin (Lions) Melvin Gordon (Giants) Rob Gronkowski (Bucs)

SCLSU MudDogs: Larry Fitzgerald (Eagles) Chris Hogan (Bucs) Sammy Watkins (Seahawks) Le'Veon Bell (Jaguars) Marshawn Lynch (Ravens) Zach Ertz (Cardinals)

Wild Cards

Rocket Man: Julio Jones and C.J. Anderson on byes. Decker/Agholor/Britt plays

SCLSU MudDogs: Brees on bye. Will Dalton Step up? Receiver production. Marshawn's production.

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Alex wins
I say:  Alex wins. This seriously the toughest matchup to decide this week. I'm only going Alex because I think he's due a win. Both teams are pretty evenly matched thanks to Julio Jones/C.J. Anderson bye on Eugene's side. Coin flip and taking Alex with no rhyme or reason.

Shock The Monkey (3-1) vs
BigBadBob (1-3)

All Time Record: Marc leads series 5-4

Key Players

Shock The Monkey: Russell Wilson (Rams) Brandin Cooks (Bucs) Tyreek Hill (Texans) Randall Cobb (Cowboys) DeMarco Murray (Dolphins) Delanie Walker (Dolphins)

BigBadBob: Aaron Rodgers (Cowboys) DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs) Devante Adams* (Cowboys)

Wild Cards

Shock The Monkey: RB Production.

BigBadBob: Devante Adams health. Crowell's struggles. Devonta Freeman on bye. Depth.

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Marc wins.
I say: Marc wins. It's hard for Dad to stay competitive at full strength, but without Devonta Freeman this week, it's going to be THAT much harder. Dad has no choice to use guys like Isaiah Crowell, Jermaine Kearse, Eric Ebron, and Allen Hurns. His severe lack of depth will probably do him in this week as Marc just has the stronger team overall.

Easy Beasley (2-2) vs 
Woe Is You (1-3)

All Time Record: Series is tied 3-3 (last played each other in 2013)

Key Players

Easy Beasley: Philip Rivers (Giants) Antonio Brown (Jaguars) Jarvis Landry (Titans) Jay Ajayi (Titans) Christan McCaffrey (Lions) Travis Kelce (Texans)

Woe Is You: Jameis Winston (Patriots) Mike Evans (Patriots)

Wild Cards

Easy Beasley: Can Ajayi and Landry bounce back? McCaffrey's struggles.

Woe Is You: Mike's entire team is a wild card outside of Evans and Winston

Predictions
Yahoo Says: Kenny wins
I Say: Kenny wins. This is an interesting matchup on so many levels. First of all these two haven't faced each other since 2013. Remember, Mike took a 2 year hiatus and when he came back he took Kenny's spot last season. There's also a little bit of left over bad blood from a fantasy baseball incident years ago where Posey mindfucked Kenny into thinking he advanced to the Fantasy Baseball Championship (back when Stat Tracker was something you had to pay for) only for Kenny to wake up the next morning and see he had lost and was in the 3rd place game. So yes, this is an honest to goodness rivalry between two guys who have never met. This screams trap game, but I think Kenny's guys come together and pull off the win. If they somehow don't......











Tuesday, October 3, 2017

Week 4 Results: Injuries, Injuries and More Injuries

Detroit Lions v Minnesota Vikings : News Photo 
Well this week was certainly a bloodbath when it comes to injuries. It all started Thursday with Ty Montgomery and Devante Adams and continued on the Sunday games as the injuries to major fantasy stars just kept piling up. The worst news was Dalvin Cook tearing his ACL. Cook had been having an amazing start to his rookie season and was a huge reason Drew's team has been overachieving to start the season. His loss is going to be HUGE for Drew, who also lost a possible replacement for Cook as Chris Carson also was lost for the year with a season ending injury. Julio Jones got hurt for Eugene, and Derek Carr is looking at a 2-6 week timetable to comeback from a fractured back he suffered Sunday as well, yet another setback for Albert's squad. So who survived the injury massacre? Here's the Week 4 Results.

Catch My Javelin! (1-3)            106.92
Easy Beasley (2-2)                      84.24

FINALLY. After ridiculous shitty losses, I finally get my first W of the season and it's all thanks to one big play. I know this game is 99.7% luck, but it DOES feel good when you make a gut call that works. It validates that you know a little something about this game. That's exactly what I did when I picked up Deshaun Watson off waivers, not to be my backup this week, but to START over Big Ben who's been a bla as bla can be. It was definitely a risk, but I just felt I had to take it. THANK GOD I DID. Watson was unbelievable with 5 total TD's and 38.22 points. By far my best QB performance in a LONG time. The question of course is how sustainable is this going to be..but it's a ride I'm willing to go on for the time being. Seriously, if it wasn't for Watson, I lose because honestly nobody on my team was outstanding. Beckham and Hunt got yardage but no TD's and Jordan Howard ended being my 3rd best play when it was said and done. For Kenny, another frustrating game for his Dolphin players. Playing against the shitty Saints, I expected big points for Landry and Ajayi. Neither one of them did much and it's got to be a little worrisome that it's the 2nd straight game the Dolphins offense completely sucked. Combine that with another off Antonio Brown day, Christian McCaffrey not doing much (gotta be worried here too) and Marcus Mariota getting hurt after a strong start and it was just too much for Kenny to overcome. Travis Kelce made it a little closer than it had any right to be (nearly 21 points) but my lead was just too much to overcome. For me, it's good to get back into swing of things, but I need to keep winning to stay competitive. I'll take on Leland next week, while Kenny gets a possible "get right" matchup against Mike.

Game MVP
Deshaun Watson (Catch My Javelin!)
283 Passing Yards, 4 Passing TD's, 1 INT, 24 Rushing Yards, 1 Rushing TD, 38.22 Points
Tennessee Titans v Houston Texan : News Photo 

Hoosier Daddy (4-0)            106.10
BigBadBob (1-3)                    88.66

Ryan keeps rolling and is looking to break the curse of those who make the Finals the year before and then miss the playoffs the next year. Ryan is still undefeated as he easily defeats Dad this week. Once again led by his running back combo of Zeke and Fournette (Zeke went off for nearly 28 points, while Leonard Fournette had 22.5) and a nice flex start in Wendall Smallwood (put up nearly 16 points), Ryan has been able to mask his WR play (no Crabtree this week and AWFUL production from his 3 receivers) because of superior running back advantage. He better hope Zeke doesn't get suspended this year, because that would be a huge blow. Kirk Cousins has also turned it around after a slow start and he put up nearly 23 points as well. As long as his RB's keep producing like they are, Ryan won't need huge games from the rest of his players to pick up wins. For Dad, it was a great start, but his team just doesn't have enough firepower outside of Rodgers, Freeman, and Hopkins. They once again scored the bulk of his points as nobody else scored double digits. Isaiah Crowell is a BUST..period. He's borderline unstartable which sucks as he was Dad's 2nd round pick. Ryan has a huge matchup next week against Drew in the battle of the undefeateds, while Dad takes on Marc next week.

Game MVP
Ezekiel Elliott (Hoosier Daddy)
85 Rushing Yards, 1 Rushing TD, 54 Receiving Yards, 1 Receiving TD, 27.9 Points
Los Angeles Rams v Dallas Cowboys : News Photo 

BABY CARROTS (4-0)                  105.88
Channel 4 News Team (1-3)               58.02

The good news is that Drew just keeps rolling as he destroys Albert's team to pick up his fourth straight win. The bad news is that he lost one of his best players for the season in Dalvin Cook, who suffered a torn ACL and is done for the year. This is a BRUTAL loss as along with losing Chris Carson for the season, Drew's running back depth is super terrible. I have no idea where he's going to go at RB now. The only silver lining is, Todd Gurley is a BEAST (yet another 30 point game, this time 31) and mayyyyybe Cam Newton can turn around his season as he had a MVP type performance with nearly 37 points albeit on Drew's bench. Still, it's great to see just how good Cam can be and Drew's going to need all hands on deck if he wants to survive the Cook injury. He also got a great Cameron Brate game with 16 points, but Brate is basically a crapshoot like every other tight end in the league. For Albert...man..the ship just keeps sinking. He can't even put up 60 points this week and he loses both Ty Montgomery and Derek Carr to injury which also affects his receiver Amari Cooper. Speaking of Cooper, he too, has been a big time bust and it's not going to get any better without Carr. Carlos Hyde and LeSean McCoy had average games, but they really need to step it up with all the potential scoring Albert will lose in the upcoming weeks. Also, Jason Witten has faded away big time and he's once again becoming an unreliable starter. It's been a rough go, but Albert has a winnable matchup next week against Matt to hopefully stop the bleeding, while Drew takes on Ryan in the battle of the undefeateds. 

Game MVP
Todd Gurley (BABY CARROTS)
121 Rushing Yards, 7 Receptions, 94 Receiving Yards, 1 Receiving TD,  31 Points
Los Angeles Rams v Dallas Cowboys : News Photo 

Woe Is You (1-3)                      131.38
Light's Broken Bots (2-2)       105.68

This is why Fantasy Football is Fantasy Football. Mike, coming off a top 3 league history worst performance with only 35 points, scores nearly 100 MORE points this week and led the entire league in scoring this week. There was just nothing Matt could do, it was just a week where Mike's team just all went off. Jameis showed why Mike traded for him and Evans as the duo combined for almost 45 points. Bilal Powell had the kind of game that made Mike draft him so early. He exploded for 27 points and you gotta think the Jets are going to make it a point to get him more involved again. Tyrell Williams is so fluky but he went off this week with 20 points and even TERRELLE PRYOR SCORED A TD..that's how you know your team is just on fire. Now is sustainable? Probably not, but it just goes to show you that you can't take any matchup for granted, it can happen any week to any team. For Matt, you know you're spoiled when a Tom Brady 22.48 point game is considered "disappointing". Him and Jordy continue to do the heavy lifting as Jordy scored two more TD's and had 21.5 points as well. Matt actually got solid production from his Duke Johnson/Tevin Coleman combo as both got over 16 points a piece and Dez added 12.5, but it was just a week where you throw your hands up and just focus on the next week. Mike will see if his guys can stay hot against Kenny next week, while Matt takes on Albert's injury riddled team.

Game MVP
Jameis Winston (Woe Is You)
332 Passing Yards, 3 Passing TD's, 29.48 Points
New York Giants v Tampa Bay Buccaneers : News Photo 

No Soup For You (2-2)         95.58
SCLSU MudDogs (1-3)        95.52

I have NEVER seen so many games being won by less than a point in our league's history but here we are again. This actually nudges my .08 loss as Alex loses by .06 because Jamison Crowder did nothing until the very last play of the game where he lost 7 yards on a lateral. Unbelievable. Leland escapes a super close call. Luckily for Leland, Lamar Miller FINALLY woke up and had a brilliant game with over 27 points. Look, obviously Miller won't get over 20 consistently, but Leland needs at the very least 15 or more from him a week as he's the defacto #1 RB on his team. At least it was encouraging to see that Miller is fully capable of having a great game. Leland's strong part of his team is his receiving group and they were once again dominant. If Keenan Allen can stay healthy all season, Leland's going to be a factor based on his WR alone. Allen was brilliant again with 138 yards on 5 catches, while Michael Thomas has come around after a slow start, with 8 catches for 89 and a score. A.J. Green is A.J. Green as he had a TD and nearly 15 points. Matt Ryan hasn't been that great so far this season, and he lost both Sanu and Julio in this game, but luckily Leland still won and the Falcons get a bye so Julio can rest up. The rest of Leland's team...ugh. Joe Mixon couldn't take advantage of his opportunities and really the only flex/bench depth Leland has is Alvin Kamara. For Alex, it was a return to the norm for his receivers. Fitz was bailed out by a OT TD, but did nothing of note besides that, while Sammy Watkins was shut down. At least Chris Hogan was good with 60 and a score and Le'Veon Bell FINALLY woke up with a 32.60 point performance. Marshawn Lynch was dreadful, and Carr being knocked out for multiple weeks certainly won't help his standing. Zach Ertz has been a pleasant surprise which is good for Alex as Jimmy Graham has been a complete bust. Tough loss for Alex, as he now drops to 1-3, but remember...last year Alex was 2-4..and who won it all? He'll take on Eugene next week, while Leland takes me on. 

Game MVP
Lamar Miller (No Soup For You)
75 Rushing Yards, 1 Rushing TD, 4 Receptions, 56 Receiving Yards, 1 Receiving TD, 27.10 Points
Tennessee Titans v Houston Texan : News Photo 

Shock The Monkey (3-1)             79.80
Rocket Man (2-2)                         57.46

It seems like Marc always wins ugly this season (look at his points, they're pretty low) but hey..a win's a win and Marc's now 3-1 after easily dispatching of Eugene this week. Seriously nobody did anything of note but Charles Clay (5 catches for 112) and Russell Wilson (nearly 31 points). The rest of his team was basically shut down. He just got lucky he played Eugene who had a big time off week. Not even 58 points. Julio Jones left the game early with an injury and just disappointing play from Matthew Stafford and Melvin Gordon. It'll be interesting to see how Eugene manages his team as he does have some decent depth on his bench (Funchess, Abdullah, not to mention a healthy Kelvin Benjamin back). Marc will look to keep the wins coming against Dad next week, while Eugene takes on Alex.

Game MVP
Russell Wilson (Shock The Monkey)
295 Passing Yards, 2 Passing TD's, 2 INT's, 38 Rushing Yards, 1 Rushing TD, 30.60 Points
Indianapolis Colts v Seattle Seahawks : News Photo